NZ vs WI Match Prediction : 3rd T20, West Indies tour of New Zealand, 2025
NZ vs WI Win Probability
68%
New Zealand
32%
West Indies
New Zealand To Win, 1.40
New Zealand has won 8 of its last 9 home games against the West Indies
West Indies bats very deep and has immense power but its top order is not very reliable
New Zealand's bowling unit and fielding are far superior
NZ vs WI Betting Tips
Shai Hope to score Over 21.5 runs
Shai Hope is the leading run-scorer for the West Indies in 2025 and has scored 541 runs at an average of over 38. He has scored at least 22 runs in each of his last 4 innings, including two half-centuries. We are therefore backing him to play a good knock.
West Indies total runs before fall of 1st wicket - Under 17.5
The opening pair of Brandon King and Alick Athanaze has struggled of late and has failed to give the team a good start in both matches so far. With Brandon King failing to reach double digits in each of his last 4 outings, we are expecting yet another poor start for the team.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
West Indies
With the 5-match series hanging in the balance, New Zealand will face off against the West Indies this weekend to gain a lead. The two teams will clash on Sunday at the Saxton Oval in Nelson.
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New Zealand vs West Indies Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other in 22 matches to date. New Zealand won 12 while the West Indies won 10. 2 matches ended without a result.
New Zealand vs West Indies Live-streaming and Broadcast
This match can be watched live on the FanCode App in India.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
NZ vs WI Team Previews
New Zealand
After losing the first T20, the hosts made a strong comeback on Wednesday to level the series. They will now hope to continue playing with the same momentum and gain a lead.
Tim Robinson and Devon Conway gave the team a solid start in the previous match and will hope to do the same in this match as well. Conway has been a bit inconsistent of late, but he is a quality batsman and we expect him to bounce back soon.
The middle order is the strongest link in New Zealand’s batting line-up. Mark Chapman scored a brilliant half-century in the previous game and was well-supported by Rachin Ravindra and Daryl Mitchell. The team also has two good all-rounders in the form of Mitchell Santner and Michael Bracewell, who add depth to the batting.
New Zealand’s pace department is inexperienced, but the likes of Jacob Duffy, Kyle Jamieson, and Zakary Foulkes have done a decent job. Ish Sodhi bowled a good spell in the previous match and is likely to retain his place in the spin department.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Devon Conway (WK), Tim Robinson, Rachin Ravindra, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (C), Michael Bracewell, Jacob Duffy, Kyle Jamieson, Ish Sodh, Zakary Foulkes
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West Indies
While the West Indies will be disappointed with the outcome of the previous match, there are plenty of positives that the team will take from that game.
The middle order, particularly Shai Hope and Rovman Powell, have batted well in both matches and will once again play a key role in this match. The likes of Romario Shepherd, Roston Chase, and Matthew Forde have also chipped in with valuable contributions.
However, the form of Brandon King and Ackeem Auguste remains a concern for the team as they are yet to make a meaningful contribution.
Coming to the bowling, Roston Chase is the team’s best bowler with 5 wickets and will continue to lead the spin department alongside Akeal Hosein. The seamers have bowled well in patches but have often been expensive. They will need to bowl a better line and length here.
West Indies Expected Playing 11
Brandon King, Alick Athanaze, Shai Hope (C & WK), Ackeem Auguste, Rovman Powell, Roston Chase, Romario Shepherd, Jason Holder, Matthew Forde, Akeal Hosein, Jayden Seales
NZ vs WI Toss Prediction
All three games played here were won while batting first, and we therefore expect that the team winning the toss will opt to bat first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the Saxton Oval is likely to be good to bat on. The surface is flat and hard, offering good pace and bounce. The ball comes onto the bat, and playing shots is easy. The team batting first will aim for the 200-run mark.
The surface becomes two-paced in the second half, and the spinners can expect some help from the pitch. The weather is expected to be pleasant with no rain and temperatures around 20 degrees.
NZ vs WI: Who Will Win?
The series has been a bit of a see-saw thus far, and both matches ended up going down to the final few deliveries. Nevertheless, we feel that New Zealand has a slight edge as they have plenty of depth in their batting and a well-balanced bowling unit. New Zealand has yet to play at its best and we think that is coming up soon.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
| Pro Tip: Rachin Ravindra has not scored many runs or looked in good touch. This may be a good time to bet against him. |
