MS-W vs ST-W Match Prediction : 38th Match, Womens Big Bash League, 2025
MS-W vs ST-W Win Probability
56%
Melbourne Stars Women
44%
Sydney Thunder Women
Melbourne Stars Women To Win, 1.70
Home Advantage: The Stars will be playing in familiar conditions at Junction Oval.
The Stars lineup boasts a formidable spine of Australian internationals
There is a lot more power in the Stars lineup
MS-W vs ST-W Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars Women to have the highest opening partnership
With the legendary Meg Lanning and Rhys McKenna set to open the innings, this market offers excellent value. Lanning has been the cornerstone of the Stars' success this season, already notching a century and three fifties. Backing this powerful duo to outlast their opponents is a smart play.
Total runs in the first three overs for Melbourne Stars Women to be over 17.5 runs
The Stars are known for hitting the ground running in the powerplay. Their aggressive top order wastes no time, making this line very achievable. A look at history supports this too—in their last encounter with the Thunder, the Stars raced to 18 runs within the first three overs.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Stars Women
Sydney Thunder Women
The Melbourne Stars will smell blood when they face a struggling Sydney Thunder outfit. While the Thunder’s campaign has been one to forget, the Stars are hungry for momentum as they march toward the playoffs. Expect them to come out firing.
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Melbourne Stars Women vs Sydney Thunder Women Head-to-Head Record
Historically, this fixture has favored the Sydney Thunder, who have won three of the last four meetings. However, the Melbourne Stars did claim a victory in 2024, signaling a shift in the rivalry.
Melbourne Stars Women vs Sydney Thunder Women Live-streaming and Broadcast
Australia: Watch live on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket (Foxtel). Online streaming is available on Kayo Sports and the free 7plus platform.​
India: Telecast on Star Sports Network. Live streaming through JioHotstar.
Pakistan & Bangladesh: The match can be viewed live on Ten Sports and Sony LIV (Sony LIV is available in both countries as a leading cricket streaming platform for international tournaments, including the WBBL).​
United Kingdom: Live coverage and streaming available on Sky Sports Cricket and the Sky Go digital platform.​
USA & Canada: Watch live on Willow TV (TV & digital). Streaming is also available via Cricbuzz in these regions.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MS-W vs ST-W Team Previews
Melbourne Stars Women
The Stars have enjoyed an outstanding season and will look to finish strong. Meg Lanning has been sensational, leading from the front as the team’s top run-scorer. She has found able support in English wicketkeeper-batter Amy Jones, forming a potent combination at the top.
The arrival of Maia Bouchier as a replacement for Marizanne Kapp has been seamless; she made an immediate impact with a blistering 67 off 40 balls against the Sixers.
The bowling attack oozes class. Captain Annabel Sutherland and pacer Kim Garth have carried their international form from the World Cup into the WBBL, combining for 22 wickets this season.
Spinner Sophie Day has also stepped up, claiming 16 wickets despite being uncapped at the international level. With a perfect blend of local Australian talent and exciting English imports, the Stars have been a joy to watch and are the clear favorites here.
Melbourne Stars Women Playing 11
Meg Lanning, Rhys McKenna, Amy Jones (wk), Annabel Sutherland (c), Maia Bouchier, Danielle Gibson, Kim Garth, Sasha Moloney, Georgia Prestwidge, Maisy Gibson, Sophie Day
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Sydney Thunder Women
The Thunder face a massive uphill battle. Their batting lineup is perilously fragile; if captain Phoebe Litchfield fails, a collapse often follows. The team is overly reliant on their top four, and their average score of just 130 at this venue suggests they will struggle to post a competitive total against Melbourne.
Their bowling has been largely a one-woman show starring Shabnim Ismail. While the South African speedster has been excellent, she lacks support. The inexperience of the rest of the attack was exposed in the Sydney derby, where they conceded 170+ runs.
Languishing near the bottom of the table, the Thunder are a risky proposition for bettors. Backing them against a cohesive Stars unit would be a gamble best avoided.
Sydney Thunder Women Expected Playing 11
Georgia Voll, Tahlia Wilson (wk), Phoebe Litchfield (c), Heather Knight, Anika Learoyd, Lucy Finn, Laura Harris, Em Arlott, Taneale Peschel, Shabnim Ismail, Samantha Bates
MS-W vs ST-W Toss Prediction
Recent history favors the chasing side, with the last two head-to-head clashes won by the team batting second. Given the potential for rain and damp conditions, both captains will likely prefer to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Overhead conditions suggest early seam movement for the quicks. While Junction Oval is traditionally a good batting surface, the dampness could keep scores lower than usual. The Stars have averaged 142 runs in their last ten games here. Spinners will need to adjust to a pitch where the ball might skid on rather than turn.
Weather could play a role, with a 20% chance of light rain forecasted alongside cool, humid temperatures.
MS-W vs ST-W: Who Will Win?
Consistency separates these two sides. The Stars have found a winning formula through cohesive team selection and reliable performances. The Thunder rely too heavily on individual brilliance, which is rarely enough against a well-oiled machine like Melbourne.
Bet on Melbourne Stars Women to win.
