MR-W vs ST-W Match Prediction : 5th Match, Womens Big Bash League, 2025
MR-W vs ST-W Win Probability
44%
Melbourne Renegades Women
56%
Sydney Thunder Women
Melbourne Renegades Women To Win, 2.15
Melbourne Renegades Women are off to a flyer this year with a win in their first game, while Sydney Thunder lost their opening game of the season.
Renegades Women have won three out of the previous five matches against Thunder Women.
Both teams have a strong batting lineup and the contest could be very close, eventually coming down to small things being the decider.
MR-W vs ST-W Betting Tips
First ball of the match to be a dot ball
Junction Oval generally offers some movement with the new ball and can be challenging early for batters. Openers from both teams may look to assess conditions before attacking, making a cautious start likely.ā
First wicket of the first innings to be caught
Being caught is the most common mode of dismissal in cricket, especially with openers looking to capitalize on powerplay fielding restrictions. Both teams have aggressive top-orders, supporting this trend.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Renegades Women
Sydney Thunder Women
In the 5th contest of the Women's BBL competition for the 2025 season, Melbourne Renegades Women will take on Sydney Thunder Women at Junction Oval in Melbourne on November 11th, 2025. Let's take a look at the match prediction, betting tips, probable playing eleven, and pitch report for this encounter in this article.
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Melbourne Renegades Women vs Sydney Thunder Women Head-to-Head Record
Melbourne Women have played against Sydney Thunder Women on 19 occasions in the T20 format. Sydney Thunder Women hold an 11-8 edge in it.
Melbourne Renegades Women vs Sydney Thunder Women Live-streaming and Broadcast
Australia: Watch live on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket (Foxtel). Online streaming is available on Kayo Sports and the free 7plus platform.ā
India: Telecast on Star Sports Network. Live streaming through JioHotstar.
Pakistan & Bangladesh: The match can be viewed live on Ten Sports and Sony LIV (Sony LIV is available in both countries as a leading cricket streaming platform for international tournaments, including the WBBL).ā
United Kingdom: Live coverage and streaming available on Sky Sports Cricket and the Sky Go digital platform.ā
USA & Canada: Watch live on Willow TV (TV & digital). Streaming is also available via Cricbuzz in these regions.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MR-W vs ST-W Team Previews
Melbourne Renegades Women
The Melbourne Renegades Women enter this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five games. Their only recent setback came in the T20 Spring Challenge against Brisbane Heat Women, where weather played a decisive role.
Building on that momentum, the Renegades opened this season with a convincing seven-wicket victory over Brisbane Heat Women, which currently puts them at the top of the points table.ā
Leading the batting charge is skipper Courtney Webb, who has averaged 36.71 and struck at 130.45 across her last nine matches. Nicole Faltum has provided steady support, scoring 153 runs in her previous nine appearances at an impressive average of 38.25 and strike rate of 133.04.
On the bowling front, Sarah Coyte heads the attack with nine wickets from her last eight outings, maintaining a strike rate of 14.66. Captain Sophie Molineux adds depth, having claimed seven wickets in just her last three matches at a strike rate of 9.42. With these key contributors in form, the Renegades will be looking to lock in another win.
Melbourne Renegades Women
Davina Perrin, Courtney Webb, Deandra Dottin, Naomi Stalenberg, Georgia Wareham (c), Nicole Faltum (wk), Tess Flintoff, Alice Capsey. Sarah Coyte, Charis Bekker, Milly Illingworth
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Sydney Thunder Women
Sydney Thunder have had a tough start to their 2025 WBBL campaign, losing three of their last five T20 outings. Most recently, they suffered a narrow six-wicket defeat to Hobart Hurricanes, despite putting up a strong total of 181 runs. The Thunder are currently third on the points table, but a negative net run rate of -0.283 highlights their early struggles.ā
Against the Hurricanes, Sydneyās batters showed promise but the bowlers couldnāt contain the chase. Anika Learoyd is leading the way with the bat, scoring 242 runs at an average of 40.33 and a strike rate of 108.03 over her previous ten matches. Tahlia Wilson has also chipped in, compiling 189 runs from her last ten games.
With the ball, Samantha Bates has been the standout, taking 11 wickets in her previous nine matches at a strike rate of 16.63. Taneale Peschel has added six wickets from her last seven appearances, and both will be key for Thunder as they look to get their campaign back on track.
Sydney Thunder Women Expected Playing 11
Tahlia Wilson (wk), Phoebe Litchfield (c), Anika Learoyd, Laura Harris, Chamari Athapaththu, Lucy Finn, Hasrat Gill, Hannah Darlington, Shabnim Ismail, Samantha Bates, Heather Knight.
MR-W vs ST-W Toss Prediction
We have seen 48 Women's T20 games played at the Junction Oval ground in Melbourne. The record is even stevens with both teams batting first and second having won 24 games each. The skipper winning the toss in such a case might opt to field first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
This ground has a reputation for offering some assistance to the bowlers. It is a low-scoring venue, and the bowlers might dominate the proceedings. It might be a good idea to bat second, given the choice, when the wicket has mellowed down slightly.
The weather conditions are likely to be cool and breezy during this encounter, with a temperature during the contest staying close to 14 degrees.
MR-W vs ST-W: Who Will Win?
Melbourne Renegades Women have made a strong start to their WBBL 2025 campaign, kicking off with a convincing win in their opening match. On the other hand, Sydney Thunder Women have begun the season on a weaker note, having lost their opening game. The Renegades also have the advantage in recent meetings, having won the last encounter between these two teams emphatically last year.
While it's still early in the tournament and both teams are settling into the league stage, Melbourne Renegades Women hold a slight edge heading into this contest. Their winning momentum, combined with home condition, makes them our pick for this match.
Bet on Melbourne Renegades Women to win.
