PAK vs AFG Match Prediction : Final Match, United Arab Emirates T20I Tri-Series, 2025
PAK vs AFG Win Probability
56%
Pakistan
44%
Afghanistan
Afghanistan To Win, 2.05
Afghanistan’s spin trio is ideally suited to Sharjah’s increasingly sluggish surface.
Ibrahim Zadran and Gurbaz have provided consistent starts, giving Afghanistan a strong batting platform.
Pakistan rely heavily on pace for breakthroughs, but the slowing conditions reduce their impact compared to spin.
PAK vs AFG Betting Tips
Total match sixes — Under 11.5
With the pitch slowing down, boundaries are harder to clear consistently. Both teams also have a good bowling lineup and a batting unit that is not the best.
Afghanistan To Score More Runs in the Powerplay
Gurbaz and Ibrahim Zadran have repeatedly attacked in the first six overs. We think the attacking intent of the Afghan batters will make all the difference.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Pakistan
Afghanistan
The United Arab Emirates T20I Tri-Series 2025 concludes with a high-stakes final between Pakistan and Afghanistan at the Sharjah Cricket Stadium on September 7. Both teams topped the table with three wins each, and with one victory apiece in their head-to-head meetings, this decider promises drama. Pakistan will lean on their pacers, but with Sharjah’s surface wearing down, Afghanistan’s spinners hold the key advantage heading into the final.
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Pakistan vs Afghanistan Head-to-Head Record
Last 5 Matches
- Afghanistan won by 18 runs — 02-Sep-2025
- Pakistan won by 39 runs — 29-Aug-2025
- Afghanistan won by 4 wickets — 06-Oct-2023
- Pakistan won by 66 runs — 27-Mar-2023
- Afghanistan won by 7 wickets — 26-Mar-2023
Afghanistan lead 3–2 across the last five encounters, highlighting their growing threat in this rivalry.
Pakistan vs Afghanistan Live-streaming and Broadcast
The UAE Tri-Series final will be broadcast live on Fancode, Ten Sports, and Sky Sports. Live streaming is available on Fancode and Willow TV.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
PAK vs AFG Team Previews
Pakistan
Pakistan’s campaign in Sharjah has been built around aggressive starts and a potent pace battery. Fakhar Zaman produced a match-defining 77* in the win over UAE (04-Sep) and remains the clearest big-hitting threat at the top.
Saim Ayub and Sahibzada Farhan have supplied brisk starts but haven’t always converted them into very large scores; Pakistan’s middle-order contributions (Hasan Nawaz, Mohammad Nawaz, Salman Agha as captain) have swung matches when required.
Bowling has been the stronger suit: Shaheen Shah Afridi has produced disciplined new-ball spells, Haris Rauf has the ability to finish aggressively (notably his 34* in the Afghanistan match), and Abrar Ahmed announced himself with a stunning 4–9 against UAE.
Faheem Ashraf’s slower-ball and change-of-pace overs have also proven useful (he took 4–27 vs Afghanistan). On a pitch that is starting to assist spinners, Pakistan’s balance will depend on Abrar and Mohammad Nawaz to control the middle overs while the pace duo try to strike early.
If Pakistan can get early wickets with Shaheen and keep the scoreboard moving up front, they’ll be tough to chase but they cannot rely on pace alone if the wicket turns more.
Pakistan Expected Playing 11
Sahibzada Farhan, Saim Ayub, Fakhar Zaman, Salman Agha (c), Hasan Nawaz, Mohammad Nawaz, Mohammad Haris (wk), Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed
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Afghanistan
Afghanistan’s tournament form has been built on two consistent pillars: explosive starts from the top (Rahmanullah Gurbaz + Ibrahim Zadran) and a spin group that makes life difficult in Sharjah’s middle overs.
Ibrahim Zadran has been a standout (65 on 02-Sep and 48 on 05-Sep) and earned player-of-the-match recognition; Sediqullah Atal (64) and Gurbaz (40) have supplied the substantial opening partnerships that let Afghanistan accelerate late.
Their spin/slow-bowling resources have repeatedly choked runflow and taken middle-order wickets. Seamers such as Fazalhaq Farooqi and Fareed Ahmad have provided useful breakthroughs and control in the powerplay and death. The dew was not a problem for the Afghan spinners — a crucial quality when battling late-evening Sharjah conditions.
On a surface that has started to slow and assist spin, Afghanistan’s combination of in-form openers and well-performing spin attack gives them a clear route to victory.
Afghanistan Expected Playing 11
Rahmanullah Gurbaz (wk), Ibrahim Zadran (c), Sediqullah Atal, Mohammad Ishaq, Karim Janat, Azmatullah Omarzai, Gulbadin Naib, Mohammad Nabi, Noor Ahmad, Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Sharafuddin Ashraf
PAK vs AFG Toss Prediction
The captain winning the toss should bat first. Across the matches you shared Sharjah has become slower under lights. Batting first lets teams post a defendable 160–170 and then let spinners squeeze the chase.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Sharjah is playing slower than earlier in the series. Spinners have been the chief wicket-takers in the middle overs, and dew has not fully nullified spin in recent games. Expect a par first-innings score of 160–170.
Conditions look dry; late-evening dew is possible but it hasn’t prevented spinners from operating.
PAK vs AFG: Who Will Win?
Given the slowing Sharjah surface, Afghanistan has a meaningful advantage. Their opening pair (Gurbaz + Ibrahim Zadran) consistently provides the platform, and their spinners have repeatedly choked run-rate and picked middle-order wickets so far.
Pakistan’s pace trio (Shaheen, Rauf) remain dangerous, and Abrar’s legspin can be a match-winner but if the wicket turns and Afghanistan’s openers get a start, their spin depth is likelier to decide the final.
Bet on Afghanistan to win.
PAK vs AFG win percentage stands at 55% in favor of PAK.
Todays Match Prediction: Afghanistan to Win.
