AFG vs PAK Match Prediction : 1st Match, United Arab Emirates T20I Tri-Series, 2025
AFG vs PAK Win Probability
42%
Afghanistan
58%
Pakistan
Afghanistan To Win, 2.10
Afghanistan’s world-class spin trio of Rashid Khan, Mujeeb ur Rahman, and Noor Ahmad is tailor-made for Sharjah’s turning tracks.
The team has beaten Pakistan in three of the last five T20Is, showing growing confidence in this rivalry.
Pakistan’s batting remains inconsistent against quality spin, giving Afghanistan the tactical advantage.
AFG vs PAK Betting Tips
Rahmanullah Gurbaz to score over 21.5 runs
The Afghan opener is aggressive in the powerplay and has enjoyed success against Pakistan. Gurbaz has over 200 runs in his last 10 T20Is at a strike rate above 135. Expect him to take advantage of the fielding restrictions.
Afghanistan to take more than 6.5 wickets
On a Sharjah pitch that assists spinners, Afghanistan’s attack looks capable of rolling through Pakistan’s batting order. Rashid, Mujeeb, and Noor Ahmad thrive in these conditions, making this a strong value pick.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Afghanistan
N/A
Pakistan
N/A
This Tri-Series in the UAE is all about the build-up to the Asia Cup, which is just a few weeks away. In that sense, these matches will serve as the perfect platform for the three teams taking part in this tournament. Of course, while the focus may be on the Asia Cup, that does not mean these matches will be taken lightly.
Afghanistan is a force to be reckoned with in the T20 format, while Pakistan is still trying to find the right balance under a new captain with some new faces. This contest promises to be an exciting one with no quarter given.
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Afghanistan vs Pakistan Head-to-Head Record
Afghanistan leads 3–2 in the last five meetings, underlining their improvement against Pakistan in recent years. In spin-friendly conditions, Afghanistan is even more dangerous and that should be taken into consideration.
Afghanistan vs Pakistan Live-streaming and Broadcast
Broadcast partners for the UAE Tri-Series include Star Sports, JioHotstar, Sky Sports, Willow TV, Ten Sports, and more.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
AFG vs PAK Team Previews
Afghanistan
Afghanistan’s strength lies in its spinners, with Rashid Khan leading the side alongside Mujeeb ur Rahman and Noor Ahmad. The trio has the ability to choke scoring and pick wickets in the middle overs. Fazalhaq Farooqi and Naveen-ul-Haq provide new-ball options, though pace will be a supporting act here.
With the bat, Rahmanullah Gurbaz and Ibrahim Zadran form a powerful opening pair, while Mohammad Nabi and Gulbadin Naib bring experience and finishing ability. Karim Janat and Azmatullah Omarzai provide flexibility as all-rounders. Afghanistan’s lineup looks well-rounded for these conditions.
The real challenge for Afghanistan has been getting enough runs on the board in the past. We still think they remain very dependent on their opening pair but the team has found a template of success which it is likely to follow once more.
Afghanistan Expected Playing 11
Rahmanullah Gurbaz (wk), Ibrahim Zadran, Darwish Rasooli, Mohammad Nabi, Karim Janat, Gulbadin Naib, Azmatullah Omarzai, Rashid Khan (c), Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Fazalhaq Farooqi, Naveen-ul-Haq
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Pakistan
Pakistan’s biggest strength is its pace attack. Shaheen Afridi and Haris Rauf can make early inroads, while Hasan Ali and Mohammad Wasim add depth. Abrar Ahmed and Mohammad Nawaz provide spin options, but they are not as potent as Afghanistan’s spinners in these conditions.
Batting remains a concern, with Fakhar Zaman and Saim Ayub tasked to set the tone. Captain Salman Agha anchors the middle order, supported by Khushdil Shah and Mohammad Haris. Pakistan has explosive talent but lacks the consistency required against disciplined spin bowling.
It has become a cliche to talk about Pakistan's bowling strength and while it is their stronger suit, we think the conditions in the UAE may test their pacers. Also, the pressure on Saim Ayub to be the savior of Pakistan's batting is immense. That can affect how a youngster plays and a couple of poor scores will start to weigh quickly.
Hopefully, the presence of a seasoned coach like Mike Hesson will help stabilize the approach and allow the Pakistani players to play fearlessly.
Pakistan Expected Playing 11
Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Salman Agha (c), Khushdil Shah, Mohammad Haris (wk), Hussain Talat, Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Nawaz, Shaheen Afridi, Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed
AFG vs PAK Toss Prediction
Teams will prefer to bowl first. Sharjah has historically favored chasing sides, and dew in night games can make batting easier in the second innings.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The surface at Sharjah will be slow, low, and spin-friendly, with turn expected from both ends. Batting is not easy once the ball gets older, and totals above 150 could prove match-winning. Pacers may get some help early, but spin will dominate.
Weather is expected to be hot and dry, with temperatures around 34°C and little chance of rain.
AFG vs PAK: Who Will Win?
Afghanistan’s spin arsenal is perfectly suited to Sharjah, and their recent head-to-head dominance gives them confidence. Pakistan’s pace attack can still turn the game, but their batters must find a way to handle Rashid Khan and Mujeeb under pressure. We think the odds make backing Afghanistan the smart move.
Bet on Afghanistan to win.
AFG vs PAK win percentage stands at 56% in favor of PAK.
Todays Match Prediction: Afghanistan to Win.
