AUS vs ENG Match Prediction : 1st Match, The Ashes, 2025-26
AUS vs ENG Win Probability
58%
Australia
8%
Draw
34%
England
Australia To Win, 1.70
England has won the opening Test of an Ashes series only twice in the last 13 attempts
Australia boasts four wins from five Tests at Perth’s Optus Stadium
England’s last Test win on Australian soil came in 2011
AUS vs ENG Betting Tips
Mitchell Starc to be the best bowler for Australia in 1st innings
Mitchell Starc has an outstanding record at Optus Stadium, Perth, collecting 26 wickets in 5 Tests at an average under 22 and with an economy rate below 3. He has claimed at least two wickets in the first innings of every Test at this venue—including a standout 5-wicket haul against New Zealand in 2019. With Australia’s pace stocks depleted, Starc should lead the attack and is a strong candidate to be their top bowler in the first innings.
Ben Duckett to score over 26.5 runs in 1st innings
Ben Duckett is England’s leading Test run-scorer in 2025, averaging near 48 since the start of 2024. He has passed 27 runs in four of his last six Tests, including two centuries and a half-century across that period. Given his consistent form, Duckett is likely to make another meaningful contribution at the top of the order.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Australia
N/A
England
N/A
The historic Ashes rivalry resumes, with Australia hosting England for the opening Test at Optus Stadium, Perth. The hosts are favorites thanks to their venue record and superior pace resources—even with key injuries.
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Australia vs England Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met in 361 Tests: Australia leads with 152 wins to England’s 112. Ninety-seven games have ended in a draw. The most recent five games have a 2-2 record with one match ending in a draw.
Australia vs England Live-streaming and Broadcast
This match can be watched live on the JioHotstar App and the Star Sports Network.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
AUS vs ENG Team Previews
Australia
Australia enters the Ashes opener looking to maintain their dominant home record, particularly at Perth, where conditions are expected to favor their fast bowlers. With Pat Cummins, Josh Hazlewood, and Sean Abbott sidelined by injury, Mitchell Starc takes center stage as the undisputed leader of the pace attack.
He is joined by Scott Boland, Brendan Doggett, and Michael Neser—each keen to prove their mettle, particularly Boland, who has become an Ashes standout. Nathan Lyon provides the primary spin option, while all-rounder Cameron Green balances the lineup with both bat and ball.
At the top, Usman Khawaja, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith, and Travis Head form a formidable core and are expected to capitalize on favorable batting conditions after the new-ball spell. Jake Weatherald, after a solid Sheffield Shield showing, could debut and offer additional stability.
This lineup is well-poised to put England under pressure and exploit any adjustment struggles among the visiting batters early in the series.
Australia Expected Playing 11
Usman Khawaja, Jake Weatherald, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith (c), Travis Head, Alex Carey (wk), Cameron Green, Scott Boland, Mitchell Starc, Brendan Doggett, Nathan Lyon
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England
England arrives in Perth aiming to end a long drought on Australian soil, but faces its own transition. Their batting stocks are deep: openers Ben Duckett and Zak Crawley promise a brisk start, while Joe Root continues to provide world-class experience at No. 4.
The middle order is sturdy, with Harry Brook, captain Ben Stokes, and Jamie Smith (wk). England’s “Bazball” approach ensures they won’t be timid, yet the lack of Stuart Broad and James Anderson—both retired—leaves their bowling attack significantly less experienced.
The onus falls on express pacemen Jofra Archer and Mark Wood to unsettle the Australians, while Gus Atkinson makes his Ashes debut, bringing raw pace. Stokes’ fitness to bowl and Shoaib Bashir’s potential inclusion as spinner add tactical options.
England’s batting, in form and aggressive, could set the tempo, but questions remain over the bowling’s ability to consistently trouble Australia on a hard, bouncy track. Expect England to attack but also be challenged when the ball swings and seams.
England Expected Playing 11
Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Ollie Pope, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes (c), Jamie Smith (wk), Jofra Archer, Mark Wood, Gus Atkinson, Shoaib Bashir
AUS vs ENG Toss Prediction
All five previous Tests at Optus Stadium have seen the toss-winner choose to bat first—a trend likely to continue.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Optus Stadium is known for its pace and bounce, aiding seamers with the new ball on day one. As the match progresses, batting becomes easier until the final days, when spin takes over. The average first-innings score is 308. Weather will be warm, mostly cloudy, but rain interruptions are unlikely.
AUS vs ENG: Who Will Win?
Despite both teams missing key personnel, Australia’s formidable records at Optus Stadium, along with a potent bowling unit led by Starc, give them the edge. England may be competitive, but home conditions and depth favor the hosts.
Bet on Australia to win.
