AUS vs ENG Match Prediction : 3rd Match, The Ashes, 2025-26
AUS vs ENG Win Probability
65%
Australia
7%
Draw
28%
England
Australia To Win, 1.44
Fortress Adelaide - Australia is nearly unbeatable here, having lost just once in their last 14 matches at this venue
England’s record at the Oval is dismal, with only one victory since 1979
The gulf in class is evident; Australia’s batting depth and rampant pace attack far outstrip England's current capabilities
AUS vs ENG Betting Tips
Steve Smith to score over 36.5 runs in 1st innings
Smith thrives at the Adelaide Oval, boasting a venue average of over 43. In his last 10 games here, he has crossed the 37-run mark in the first innings five times, including converting those starts into two fifties and a century. The odds offer good value for a batter of his class on a favorite ground.
Mitchell Starc to pick up Over 4.5 wickets in the match
Starc is in lethal form, leading the tournament wicket charts with at least 8 scalps in each of the first two Tests. His record at Adelaide is formidable—he has claimed 5+ wickets in three of his last four matches at this venue. Back him to dominate the English lineup again.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Australia
N/A
England
N/A
Australia will look to claim an unassailable lead in the ongoing Ashes series as they host England for the 3rd of the 5-match series this week. The match will begin on Wednesday at the Adelaide Oval.
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Australia vs England Head-to-Head Record
The historical rivalry is heavily skewed in Australia's favor. Across 363 matches, Australia have won 154 compared to England's 112, with 97 draws.
Australia vs England Live-streaming and Broadcast
This match can be watched live on the JioHotstar App and the Star Sports Network.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
AUS vs ENG Team Previews
Australia
The hosts have been clinical, winning both opening Tests comfortably. They are playing like a team destined to retain the urn. The major boost for Australia is the return of captain Pat Cummins, who is set to partner with the in-form Mitchell Starc.
Starc has been unplayable with the new ball, and his partnership with Cummins will be a nightmare for England's top order. Brendan Doggett is likely to make way for Nathan Lyon, who returns as the specialist spinner, while Michael Neser will likely be replaced by Cummins, leaving Scott Boland as the third seamer.
In the batting department, Usman Khawaja's recovery from injury provides a selection headache; he may slot into the middle order, with Jake Weatherald and Travis Head continuing to provide stability at the top.
Australia Expected Playing 11
Jake Weatherald, Travis Head, Steve Smith, Marnus Labuschagne, Cameron Green, Usman Khawaja, Alex Carey (WK), Pat Cummins (C), Mitchell Starc, Scott Boland, Nathan Lyon
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England
England are fighting for survival in a series where they have been thoroughly outplayed. While few expected a clean sweep, the lack of competitiveness has been alarming. The "Bazball" approach under Brendon McCullum hasn't yielded results against this Australian attack.
Changes seem inevitable. Ollie Pope’s struggle in the middle order (barely 100 runs in 4 innings) puts his spot in jeopardy, likely paving the way for Jacob Bethell. Will Jacks, who looked solid in the previous match, could be promoted to number 3.
The pressure is immense on openers Zak Crawley and Ben Duckett to survive the new ball, while Harry Brook must temper his aggression with better shot selection. The bowling unit is expected to remain unchanged, trusting Jofra Archer, Brydon Carse, and Gus Atkinson to find a breakthrough.
England Expected Playing 11
Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Harry Brook, Joe Root, Ben Stokes (C), Jamie Smith (WK), Jacob Bethell, Will Jacks, Brydon Carse, Gus Atkinson, Jofra Archer
AUS vs ENG Toss Prediction
The Adelaide pitch traditionally favors setting a target. Expect the captain winning the toss to bat first to capitalize on the best batting conditions.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Adelaide Oval offers a flat, hard surface with true bounce, ideal for stroke play once batters settle in. The average first-innings score of 385 reflects its batting-friendly nature. While the new ball may nip around due to the grass covering, the real challenge comes late in the game when the pitch wears and spinners like Nathan Lyon come into play.
Weather is forecast to be clear and pleasant.
AUS vs ENG: Who Will Win?
The smart money is firmly on Australia. They have outclassed England in every session of the series so far. With Pat Cummins returning to bolster an already dominant attack, and England looking devoid of answers, a home win seems the only logical outcome.
Bet on Australia to win.
