AUS vs ENG Match Prediction : 5th Match, The Ashes, 2025-26

After a rollercoaster ride over the past 45 days, Australia and England are set to play the final test in the ongoing Ashes series later this week. The two teams will play at the Sydney Cricket Ground starting Sunday.

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Australia vs England Head-to-Head Record

The two teams have faced each other in 365 matches to date. Australia won 155, while England won 113. 97 matches ended in a draw. England's recent record in Australia has been horrendous and their win in the previous match should be seen as a clear outlier.

Australia vs England Live-streaming and Broadcast

India: Star Sports Network (TV), JioHotstar (stream)​

Australia: Channel 7 / 7plus (free), Kayo Sports / Foxtel​

Pakistan: PTV Sports (TV), Tapmad TV (stream)​

Bangladesh: Gazi TV ​

UK: TNT Sports (TV), Discovery+ (stream)​

USA: Willow TV (TV), Fubo (stream)

You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.

AUS vs ENG Team Previews

Australia

After winning the first three matches by a thumping margin, Australia went to the MCG as the favorites to win. However, they were defeated by England in under two days. Nevertheless, the hosts will hope to turn things around and win this match.

Australia’s batting hasn’t been the best in this tournament, and that is something that the team will need to work on. The likes of Steve Smith, Usman Khawaja, Marnus Labuschagne, and Jake Weatherald have failed to convert their starts into big knocks.

The team is likely to make at least one change to accommodate Beau Webster, who has been waiting in the flanks. The most likely casualty will be Cameron Green, who is averaging under 19 after playing 6 innings. Travis Head has been the team’s best batsman, scoring two centuries so far, and will continue to play a pivotal role in this game as well.

The seamers have been brilliant throughout the series, and the hosts will be tempted to once again go with an all-seam attack consisting of Mitchell Starc, Scott Boland, Michael Neser, and Jhye Richardson.

Australia Expected Playing 11

Travis Head, Jake Weatherald, Steve Smith (C), Usman Khawaja, Alex Carey (WK), Beau Webster, Mitchell Starc, Michael Neser, Jhye Richardson, Scott Boland, Marnus Labuschagne

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England

After failing to win the coveted trophy, England finally has something to cheer about as they won a Test match on Australian soil after almost 15 years. The team will now hope to continue with the winning momentum and end the tour on a high note by winning at the SCG.

Much like their opponents, England’s batting hasn’t been the best on this tour, and that has been one of the key reasons for the team’s dismal performance in the first three matches. A lot was expected from Joe Root, Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, and Harry Brook before this series started. However, none of them has been able to make much of an impact.

They have struggled against Australia’s fiery pace attack even on good batting tracks. Root is the team’s best batsman with an average of just over 33 in 8 innings. If England are able to bat better, they might just be able to give a better fight here.

Coming to the bowling, Gus Atkinson has been ruled out of this game due to an injury, and that means Josh Tongue and Brydon Carse will have plenty of pressure on them to perform with the new ball. Atkinson’s absence will mean that Matthew Potts could play his first Test match in Australia.

England Expected Playing 11

Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Ben Stokes (C), Jamie Smith (WK), Jacob Bethell, Will Jacks, Josh Tongue, Brydon Carse, Matthew Potts

AUS vs ENG Toss Prediction

The team winning the toss will likely opt to bat first. Spin could come into play from the fourth day onward.

Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

While the SCG has historically produced pitches that help the spinners, recent matches suggest that the surface is usually covered with green grass, helping the seamers. There will be movement off the seam, especially when the ball is new.

The grass tends to hold moisture and prevents the surface from drying out. Batting here will get easier once the ball gets a bit old. The average first-inning score here is around 316. Anything over 170-180 could be difficult to chase in the fourth inning.

The weather is expected to remain cloudy on the first two days, with some rain on Sunday. However, the weather should start clearing from Tuesday onwards.

AUS vs ENG: Who Will Win?

We have seen some thrilling encounters over the past month, and we expect to see a similar game at the SCG as well. Both teams have shown chinks in their armour, but we reckon that Australia could win here. They have batted better in this tournament, and their pace attack is stronger as well.

Bet on Australia to win.