ESS vs SUS Match Prediction : T20 Blast 2025
ESS vs SUSS Win Probability
92%
Essex
8%
Sussex
Sussex To Win, 1.60
Essex are winless in their last 5 games, with frequent batting collapses
Sussex’s balanced bowling attack, led by Tymal Mills, is in better form
Momentum and morale heavily favour Sussex, who are still playoff contenders

Team form (Last 5 matches)
Essex
Sussex
Essex are rock bottom in the South Group with just one win from eleven matches, and their latest outing was a 95-run mauling at the hands of Somerset. The side’s batting has completely collapsed in recent games — bowled out for just 130 in 14.1 overs against Somerset.
None of their batters have stood up, and despite having names like Jordan Cox, Paul Walter, and Michael Pepper, their inability to handle quality pace and spin has cost them dearly. The bowling hasn’t been much better either — they conceded 225 in their last match, with even experienced campaigners like Amir and Harmer going wicketless or leaking runs.
In contrast, Sussex have played some of the most watchable cricket this season and remain in the playoff race. Despite a close loss to Kent in their last match, the likes of Tom Clark, James Coles, and Danny Lamb have consistently chipped in. Sussex’s bowling lineup, led by Tymal Mills, is capable of defending moderate totals, and their fielding has been sharp. If they bat with more composure, especially in the middle overs, they can dominate.
With Essex low on confidence and form, and Sussex fighting to break into the top four, this could be another tough evening for Harmer’s men.
Bet on Sussex to win.