DUR vs NOT Match Prediction : T20 Blast 2025
Durham To Win, 1.75
Durham have won 3 of their last 4; Notts have only beaten struggling teams.
Sowter, Parkinson, and Potts are a more complete attack than anything Notts currently field.
Lees, Clark, and Neesham have produced reliable runs, unlike Notts’ misfiring top order.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Durham
Nottinghamshire
Durham come into this game as one of the form sides in the North Group, sitting 3rd on the table with five wins from eight and a strong net run rate (+0.697). Their 63-run victory over Yorkshire highlighted their all-round depth. Graham Clark and Alex Lees are giving fast starts, Colin Ackermann is finally finding fluency, and James Neesham’s hitting in the death overs has been decisive. Their bowling unit — especially Nathan Sowter and Callum Parkinson — is perfectly suited to home conditions at the Riverside, where the surface is typically slow and responsive to spin.
Nottinghamshire, by contrast, remain inconsistent. Although they beat Northamptonshire by 24 runs, their win came largely due to a one-off rescue act from Tom Moores and Daniel Sams. Joe Clarke and Lyndon James, who should anchor the top order, have been unreliable. Their spin attack — Harrison and Patterson-White — has promise, but they haven't dominated games the way Durham’s have. With a -0.579 NRR and already five losses from nine, Notts are in must-win territory, but their top order looks too brittle and they’ve lacked control in the middle overs with the ball.
Conditions at Chester-le-Street favour bowling sides who can defend scores with discipline. Durham's style of play, balance, and form suit this matchup far more than Nottinghamshire’s hit-or-miss approach.
Bet on Durham to win.
