IND-W vs SL-W Match Prediction : 4th Match, Sri Lanka Women tour of India 2025
IND-W vs SL-W Win Probability
88%
India Women
12%
Sri Lanka Women
India Women To Win, 1.08
It would take a monumental collapse from India for Sri Lanka to steal a win here. The gap in quality between the two sides has been evident throughout the series.
Sri Lanka’s bowlers have found no answers to India's top order. If the openers don't get you, the middle order cleans up.
The Sri Lankan batters simply aren't putting enough runs on the board to pressure the Indian lineup.
IND-W vs SL-W Betting Tips
India Women to score over 82 runs in their first ten overs.
The Indian top order is currently operating at a different level. They have turned the powerplay and middle overs into a run-fest, crossing the 82-run mark in two of the first three games (and falling just short with 79 in the third). Given the form of Shafali Verma and Smriti Mandhana, backing them to dominate the first half of the innings is a high-value play.
The first legal delivery of the contest to be a dot ball
Despite the aggressive nature of T20 cricket, openers usually take a "sighter" on the very first ball to judge the bounce and swing. In a game where seam movement is expected early, the batters are likely to treat the first delivery with caution, making the dot ball a statistically strong option.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India Women
Sri Lanka Women
As predicted by many, the Indian Women have stormed to an unassailable 3-0 series lead after a clinical victory in the third T20I. With the series already in the bag, the action now shifts to the Greenfield International Stadium in Thiruvananthapuram for the fourth rubber. While the trophy is decided, India will look to maintain their ruthlessness, while Sri Lanka plays for pride.
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India Women vs Sri Lanka Women Head-to-Head Record
The historical dominance is stark. The two nations have faced off 27 times in this format, with India winning 22 matches compared to Sri Lanka's 5 victories.
India Women vs Sri Lanka Women Live-streaming and Broadcast
IND-W vs SL-W T20Is are on Star Sports TV with live streaming on JioHotstar in India.
In Sri Lanka, the series is on free-to-air Talent TV.
In most other major cricket nations (UK, Australia, NZ, South Africa, North America), coverage is either via the local pay-TV partner that carries India home cricket (Sky, Fox/Kayo, SuperSport, Willow) or directly on ICC.tv where no local rights holder exists, so viewers should check local listings or ICC.tv for confirmation.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
IND-W vs SL-W Team Previews
India Women
India steamrolled Sri Lanka by eight wickets in the third T20I, turning the remaining matches into dead rubbers. The star of the show was seamer Renuka Singh, whose four-wicket haul decimated the top order, ably supported by spinner Deepti Sharma (3 wickets).
In the chase, while stalwarts Smriti Mandhana and Jemimah Rodrigues missed out, the depth of the Indian lineup shone through. Shafali Verma continued her explosive form, and captain Harmanpreet Kaur guided the team home without fuss.
Statistically, the Indian batting is intimidating. Smriti Mandhana has piled up 400 runs in her last 10 innings at an average of 40. Shafali Verma is striking the ball at an incredible rate of 173.43, with 333 runs in her last 8 games.
On the bowling front, Deepti Sharma leads the pack with 14 wickets in her last 9 games, while Shree Charani has been a consistent wicket-taker as well.
India Women Expected Playing 11
Smriti Mandhana, Shafali Verma, Jemimah Rodrigues, Harmanpreet Kaur (c), Amanjot Kaur, Richa Ghosh†, Deepti Sharma, Renuka Singh, Arundhati Reddy, Sneh Rana, Shree Charani.
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Sri Lanka Women
It has been a tour to forget for the visitors. Since their solitary win in July 2024, Sri Lanka has suffered four consecutive defeats against India. The batting unit is failing to fire as a collective; in the third T20I, four of the top seven got starts but threw their wickets away, with Imesha Dulani top-scoring with a modest 27.
Captain Chamari Athapaththu looks uncharacteristically subdued. While she remains their biggest hope, her recent stats (181 runs in 10 games, strike rate 95.26) suggest she is struggling for rhythm. Harshitha Samarawickrama is also finding runs hard to come by, averaging just 13.33 in her last 10 outings.
Bowling remains their only slight positive. Athapaththu and Kavisha Dilhari have been the most threatening, both picking up wickets consistently, but they have lacked support from the rest of the attack.wers both with the new ball and in spin containment, they’ll likely face another one-sided result.
Sri Lanka Women Expected Playing 11
Chamari Athapaththu (c), Vishmi Gunaratne, Harshitha Samarawickrama, Kavisha Dilhari, Nilakshika Silva, Kaushini Nuthyangana†, Malsha Shehani, Kawya Kavindi, Inoka Ranaweera, Malki Madara, Shashini Gimhani.
IND-W vs SL-W Toss Prediction
Thiruvananthapuram has hosted limited women's T20Is, but historical data from the venue favors the chasing side. With the potential for early swing, the captain winning the toss will likely choose to field first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at the Greenfield International Stadium generally offers early assistance to seam bowlers—expect Renuka Singh to be dangerous with the new ball. However, once the shine wears off, the ball comes onto the bat nicely, rewarding shot-making.
Weather-wise, we expect some cloud cover which might aid the swing bowlers, but the forecast is clear of rain. It should be a full 40-over contest.
IND-W vs SL-W: Who Will Win?
The narrative remains unchanged from the previous games. India is superior in every department—batting depth, bowling variety, and fielding standards. While there is a small risk of complacency given the 3-0 lead, the Indian bench strength is hungry to perform.
Sri Lanka looks demoralized, and unless Athapaththu plays a blinder, another one-sided affair is on the cards.
Bet on India Women to win.
