IND vs SA Match Prediction : 5th T20, South Africa tour of India, 2025
IND vs SA Win Probability
67%
India
33%
South Africa
India To Win, 1.42
India has proven itself to be the superior team in thie series, especially in terms of bowling strength
SA's batting is very dangerous but a lack of consistency from the top order is holding it back
India has won 4 of its last 5 matches at this venue
IND vs SA Betting Tips
Shubman Gill to score Over 25.5 runs
Shubman Gill’s only T20I century has come at this venue, and he has an excellent record here in the IPL here, averaging over 52 in his 25 innings here. Looking at his record, we are backing Gill to play a good knock at this venue.
Highest individual score Over 70.5
The pitch at Ahmedabad is batting-friendly, and four of the last 5 matches played here have seen at least one batsman score more than 70 runs. As both teams have a strong batting line-up, we are expecting that trend to continue.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India
South Africa
South Africa will be desperate to level the series as they face the hosts in the tour finale later this week. The stage is set at the world’s largest cricket stadium, the iconic Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad, for what promises to be a high-octane clash.
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India vs South Africa Head-to-Head Record
The rivalry has been intense but historically dominated by the Men in Blue. In 35 meetings to date, India has secured 20 victories compared to South Africa’s 13. One match ended with no result, and another was abandoned.
India vs South Africa Live-streaming and Broadcast
The match will be broadcast live on the Star Sports Network. Fans in India can also stream the game live via the JioHotstar app.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
IND vs SA Team Previews
India
India’s dominance at home in T20Is is well-documented, having secured 13 consecutive series wins prior to this. They have a golden opportunity to extend that streak on Friday, though the Proteas have proven to be stubborn opponents.
While India played well in Dharamsala to take the lead, there are concerns regarding the form of their senior batters. Captain Suryakumar Yadav and opener Shubman Gill have struggled significantly, both averaging around 10 runs in their last three outings.
With the World Cup looming, they will be eager to use this batting-friendly deck to find their rhythm.
Elsewhere, opener Abhishek Sharma has shown flashes of brilliance but needs to convert his starts into match-winning knocks. The middle order looks solid, with Tilak Varma, Hardik Pandya, and Jitesh Sharma providing depth and finishing power. A major boost for India is the expected return of Jasprit Bumrah to the playing XI, joining Arshdeep Singh to form a lethal pace duo.
Spin duties will likely remain with the effective pair of Varun Chakravarthy and Kuldeep Yadav.
India Playing 11
Abhishek Sharma, Shubman Gill, Tilak Varma, Suryakumar Yadav (C), Jitesh Sharma (WK), Shivam Dube, Hardik Pandya, Varun Chakravarthy, Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav.
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South Africa
While the Proteas were clinical in the Test series, their white-ball form has been plagued by inconsistency.
To challenge India in Ahmedabad, they need a stronger foundation from their openers. Reeza Hendricks has looked vulnerable against the moving ball and needs to navigate the powerplay better alongside Quinton de Kock.
The middle order boasts serious firepower with Dewald Brevis, Donovan Ferreira, Aiden Markram, and Tristan Stubbs. However, despite their IPL experience in these conditions, they have failed to fire collectively. The visitors need at least two of these impact players to bat deep to post a competitive total.
On the bowling front, Lungi Ngidi will be the linchpin. With 6 wickets to his name recently, his ability to make early inroads into India’s top order is crucial. Tactically, South Africa is expected to bolster their spin attack by including Keshav Maharaj, given the conditions.
South Africa Expected Playing 11
Quinton de Kock (WK), Reeza Hendricks, Aiden Markram (C), Dewald Brevis, Tristan Stubbs, Donovan Ferreira, Marco Jansen, Anrich Nortje, Keshav Maharaj, Lungi Ngidi, Ottneil Baartman
IND vs SA Toss Prediction
It is an even split between teams batting first and those batting second at this venue in the last 6 matches. Nevertheless, we expect that the team winning the toss will likely opt to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Narendra Modi Stadium is renowned as a batter’s delight, with an average first-innings score hovering around 180. Expect a run-fest as the ball comes onto the bat nicely. Pacers may find some movement early on, but once the shine wears off, batters can hit through the line freely. Spinners will need to be disciplined with their line and length, targeting rough patches to extract turn.
The weather is forecast to be clear with pleasant temperatures around 20°C, though dew could play a significant role in the latter half of the match.
IND vs SA: Who Will Win?
We are backing India to seal the series. Although some top-order stars are out of form, their depth and home advantage make them the superior side. South Africa is dangerous and will fight hard, but India’s return of Jasprit Bumrah tips the scales in their favor.
In-Play betting (A small bet on South Africa followed by a bigger bet on South Africa if the odds improve, as we expect them to, will ensure you end up winning no matter what happens.) If you are betting outright, choose India.
Bet on India to win.
