BAN vs SA – 1st Test Match Prediction

South Africa tour of Bangladesh, 2024 - 1st Match
BangladeshvsSouth Africa
Oct 21, 20245:29 pmSher-E-Bangla National Cricket Stadium - Dhaka , Bangladesh
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Betting Tips

First ball of the match to be a dot ball

1.17

South Africa’s pace attack, led by Kagiso Rabada, will look to strike early against Bangladesh’s top order. The pitch in Mirpur may offer some assistance to the pacers in the first session, making this a favourable bet. Rabada’s pace and Wiaan Mulder’s swing could trouble Bangladesh’s batters, increasing the chances of a breakthrough in the early stages. The South African batters may look to start cautiously too if they bat first.

Total runs for South Africa in the first ten overs over 35.5

1.85

With aggressive players like Aiden Markram, Tony de Zorzi, Tristan Stubbs and David Bedingham in the batting lineup, South Africa’s top-order is expected to take advantage of the new ball. Bangladesh’s bowling attack, while potent in spin, might find it difficult to contain South Africa’s aggressive approach early on, making this bet a solid choice.

BAN vs SA Match Prediction

South Africa to win the match - 1.75

  • South Africa heads into the first Test as the favourites, thanks to their strong bowling lineup and powerful middle-order batting
  • The Proteas have produced the significantly better record over the past five Tests between them
  • Bangladesh’s bowling may be too overly reliant on only a handful of bowlers
Bet on South Africa To Win For Real Money

A tour to Bangladesh was always tough but now, with the Bangladesh team stronger than perhaps ever before, winning in Bangladesh is no small feat. For South Africa, Kagiso Rabada and Keshav Maharaj are expected to dominate with the ball, while Aiden Markam and David Bedingham will provide stability in the batting order. Bangladesh, while formidable at home, may struggle to contain South Africa’s pace and spin combination.

It promises to be a match (and a series) that goes down to the wire!

In the last five Test matches between the two sides, South Africa has won four times, showcasing their superiority in this format. Bangladesh has historically struggled against South Africa’s pace attack. This series will be another test of their ability to perform against a well-balanced Proteas team.

Bangladesh vs South Africa Live-Streaming and Broadcast

For the Indian audience, streaming of the first Test between Bangladesh and South Africa from Monday, 21 October 2024 to Friday, 25 October 2024 will be available on the FanCode app. There will be no TV broadcast available.

BAN vs SA Team Previews

Bangladesh

Bangladesh will rely heavily on their spinners to trouble South Africa, especially on the spin-friendly surface of Mirpur. The home side have had mixed results in their last five Tests with three losses and two wins.

Players like Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Taijul Islam will be crucial. Their ability to exploit the turning track will dictate Bangladesh’s chances. You can expect the spinners to carry the bulk of the bowling workload. Between them, they have 67 wickets in their last 17 Test matches.

Taijul Islam also took a six-fer in his last Test against South Africa.

Taskin Ahmed will need to provide early breakthroughs with the new ball. The team’s fortunes may depend on how well they bowl in the first innings. He will be one of their more senior new ball bowlers.

On the batting front, Najmul Hossain Shanto and Mahmudul Hasan Joy will look to anchor the top-order. Mominul Haque and Mushfiqur Rahim must step up in the middle-order to counter South Africa’s world-class bowling attack.

They are experienced campaigners who will need to deliver, especially in a vital first innings. Rahim hit a half-century in the first innings of his previous Test against the away side.

Bangladesh Expected Playing 11

  • Mahmudul Hasan Joy
  • Shadman Islam
  • Najmul Hossain Shanto (C)
  • Mominul Haque
  • Mushfiqur Rahim
  • Litton Das (WK)
  • Mehidy Hasan Miraz
  • Taijul Islam
  • Taskin Ahmed
  • Hasan Mahmud
  • Nayeem Hasan

South Africa

South Africa arrives in Mirpur with a well-balanced side. The Proteas also bring winning form after beating the West Indies in their previous Test series.

Kagiso Rabada will spearhead the pace attack with Wiaan Mulder providing a swing-bowling option that could be effective in the humid conditions. Rabada has 34 wickets in his last eight Test matches.

The team’s spin department will be led by Keshav Maharaj. Maharaj will look to use the conditions to his advantage and keep Bangladesh’s batters in check. The left-arm finger-spinner has 17 wickets in his last five Tests. He was also named player of the series in the previous Test series against Bangladesh.

With the bat, Aiden Markram is the lynchpin of the middle-order and his ability to absorb pressure will be vital. David Bedingham and Tristan Stubbs are expected to be aggressive, especially against Bangladesh’s fast bowlers.

Kyle Verreynne will play an essential role down the order, providing stability with the bat while also handling wicketkeeping duties.

South Africa Expected Playing 11

  • Aiden Markram (C)
  • Tony de Zorzi
  • Tristan Stubbs
  • David Bedingham
  • Ryan Rickelton
  • Kyle Verreynne (WK)
  • Wiaan Mulder
  • Keshav Maharaj
  • Kagiso Rabada
  • Dane Piedt
  • Dane Paterson

BAN vs SA Toss Prediction

South Africa will look to win the toss and bat first. The Mirpur pitch tends to deteriorate as the game progresses. Batting first would give them the best chance to post a big score and put pressure on Bangladesh in the fourth innings when the ball will turn sharply.

Pitch and Conditions

The Shere Bangla National Stadium pitch is known for providing assistance to spinners as the game wears on. The first two days should offer decent batting conditions, but from the third day onwards, spinners like Keshav Maharaj and Mehidy Hasan Miraz will likely dominate. Fast bowlers could also extract some reverse swing later in the game. Runs on the board in the first innings will be key.

Temperatures are expected to be scorching at over 30 degrees Celsius with a minimal two percent chance of rain.

BAN vs SA Betting Tips

South Africa’s balanced side and their world-class bowling attack give them the upper hand in this match. Bangladesh’s reliance on spin and their relative struggle against quality fast bowling may make it difficult for them to overcome South Africa’s pace threat. The toss could be vital.

Neither side will want to face tricky conditions batting last on the fourth or fifth day of the Test.

Bet on South Africa to win the match.

jonhenry wilson, OCBscores contributor
Jonhenry WilsonCricket Enthusiast

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