PAK vs SA Match Prediction : 3rd ODI, South Africa tour of Pakistan, 2025
PAK vs SA Win Probability
61%
Pakistan
39%
South Africa
Pakistan To Win, 1.55
Pakistan’s batting combination of Babar Azam and Mohammad Rizwan remains the backbone of their ODI side and among the most stable partnerships globally
The hosts have a potent new-ball attack (Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah), which has delivered early wickets throughout the series and at home in general
Pakistan possess greater variety in spin options (Mohammad Nawaz, Salman Agha, Abrar Ahmed), whereas South Africa have often had to rely on their part-time and underperforming spinners
PAK vs SA Betting Tips
South Africa total runs before the first dismissal to be over 28.5 runs
The South African openers have produced partnerships of 98 (1st ODI) and 81 runs (2nd ODI) in this series, with Quinton de Kock and Lhuan-dre Pretorius leading the way. This bet is supported by current form (both openers in good touch), but be aware that Pakistan’s new-ball bowlers have made breakthroughs if conditions help.
First wicket of the match to be caught
Recent ODIs in this series have seen aggressive opening spells from both teams, and outfield catches have indeed featured, but in the most recent match, the first wicket was Lhuan-dre Pretorius caught by Mohammad Rizwan off Mohammad Wasim Jr (not Fakhar Zaman). Predicting a “caught” dismissal as the first wicket remains statistically solid, but quoting Fakhar as the example is incorrect.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Pakistan
South Africa
The final match of the series is a decider with the series tied 1-1. Pakistan won a nail-biter to start, South Africa responded with a convincing eight-wicket win. Both teams have recent wins and losses; Pakistan’s home record and recent higher win percentage in the fixture makes them narrow favourites.
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Pakistan vs South Africa Head-to-Head Record
The ongoing ODI series stands at 1-1. While Pakistan have had the upper hand in prior encounters, South Africa's last win levelled the series. Previous five head-to-heads are evenly split, with Pakistan slightly ahead coming into this series.
Pakistan vs South Africa Live-streaming and Broadcast
The third ODI is set for Iqbal Stadium, Faisalabad, on November 8, 2025. The match is a day-night encounter.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
PAK vs SA Team Previews
Pakistan
Pakistan’s ODI squad is well-rounded and in excellent form heading into the third and decisive match against South Africa. Saim Ayub, has delivered runs and stability, with Babar’s consistency in the ODI format making him an ever present threat. Saim’s recent half-century promises more runs ahead.
Mohammad Rizwan’s reliability in the middle order ensures momentum is maintained, while Salman Ali Agha’s valuable runs in the lower-middle order provide depth. Shaheen Shah Afridi’s leadership and new-ball prowess—supported by Naseem Shah’s raw pace—consistently trouble opposition batters, often resulting in early wickets.
Pakistan also possess a diverse spin attack, with Mohammad Nawaz and Abrar Ahmed offering control through the middle overs. With home conditions favouring their style, Pakistan’s ability to adapt, their batting firepower, and varied bowling options position them as favourites to produce a balanced, winning performance in this series decider.
Pakistan Expected Playing 11
Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Salman Ali Agha, Hussain Talat, Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Shah Afridi (c), Mohammad Wasim Jr, Naseem Shah.
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South Africa
South Africa field a newer-look ODI squad, with returning Quinton de Kock as the key name—his unbeaten 123* led the chase in the previous match. Lhuan-dre Pretorius and Tony de Zorzi have made notable contributions at the top, but the middle order (Breetzke, Ferreira, Qeshile) has far less ODI experience.
Their bowling was led by Nandre Burger’s four-wicket haul in the last match, supported by Fortuin and Linde (who did struggle).
South Africa has often had to use Donovan Ferreira, a part-time spinner, for extended spells. George Linde, the frontline spinner, has been expensive and used sparingly at times.
South Africa is top-heavy. It needs runs from its top orders and early wickets from its fast bowlers. If either of that fails to happen, we think the visitors will struggle in the third ODI.
South Africa Expected Playing 11
Quinton de Kock (wk), Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Tony de Zorzi, Matthew Breetzke (c), Sinethemba Qeshile, Donovan Ferreira, George Linde, Corbin Bosch, Bjorn Fortuin, Nqaba Peter, Nandre Burger.
PAK vs SA Toss Prediction
All recent ODIs at Iqbal Stadium have been won by the team chasing. Expect both captains to prefer bowling first if they win the toss.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Iqbal Stadium generally offers dry surfaces with turn for spinners, especially in the second innings. A par score is around 270–280, and dew may play a role at night, making chasing easier. Weather is expected to be clear and hot, with no rain forecast.
PAK vs SA: Who Will Win?
Pakistan’s greater depth and experience in local conditions, plus more reliable spin and pace options, gives them the edge—though South Africa will be dangerous, especially if de Kock gets going again.
Bet on Pakistan to win.
| Pro Tip: Although this has not worked in the previous two matches, we are going to once again back Babar Azam to get some runs! He looked good before getting out to a beautful ball and a great catch in the previous match. Runs look likely for him. |
