AUS vs SA Match Prediction : 3rd ODI Match, South Africa tour of Australia, 2025

South Africa arrive for the 3rd ODI already 2–0 up in the series and with five consecutive bilateral ODI series wins against Australia since 2016. Their batting, led by Breetzke and Stubbs, has found form, while Ngidi and Burger have ripped through Australia’s line-up. Australia, meanwhile, have now lost seven of their last eight ODIs and been bowled out for under 200 in four straight home games, a worrying trend.

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Australia vs South Africa Head-to-Head Record

Australia still lead overall in ODIs, but South Africa have now beaten them in four straight bilateral series and are on the verge of a historic 3–0 whitewash in Australia.

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AUS vs SA Team Previews

Australia

Australia’s batting woes have defined this series. Travis Head and Marnus Labuschagne have failed repeatedly, while Mitchell Marsh hasn’t kicked on. Josh Inglis has been a lone bright spot with 87 in the 2nd ODI, but without support, the middle order has crumbled.

Australia may be forced to make some changes and the pressure is certainly going to be on the batting lineup.

Bowling has been steady, with Bartlett, Zampa, and Ellis all contributing, but defending modest totals has been impossible.

With the series gone, Australia may make changes, but the bigger question is whether their top order can finally resist South Africa’s seam attack.

Australia Expected Playing 11

Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh (C), Marnus Labuschagne, Cameron Green, Josh Inglis (WK), Alex Carey, Aaron Hardie, Xavier Bartlett, Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood

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South Africa

South Africa have exceeded expectations, winning the series without Bavuma or Rabada. Matthew Breetzke’s record-breaking start to ODI cricket (four fifties in four games) has been the biggest positive, while Stubbs showed maturity with a crucial 74 in Mackay.

Ngidi’s 5-for sealed the 2nd ODI, backed by Burger’s aggression and Maharaj’s control. Their one weakness has been finishing innings with the bat, losing clumps of wickets in the final 10 overs, but their bowlers have covered those flaws.

With the series in the bag, South Africa may rotate but will still aim for a statement 3–0 win.

South Africa Expected Playing 11

Ryan Rickelton (WK), Aiden Markram (C), Tony de Zorzi, Matthew Breetzke, Tristan Stubbs, Dewald Brevis, Wiaan Mulder, Keshav Maharaj, Senuran Muthusamy, Nandre Burger, Lungi Ngidi

AUS vs SA Toss Prediction

Teams winning the toss at Mackay generally choose to bat first as the pitch slows under lights. Both sides are likely to prefer batting upfront.

Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

The Mackay surface has offered bounce for seamers and grip for spinners. Par scores remain in the 270–290 range, but chasing has been tricky under lights. Weather is expected to be clear with minimal interruptions.

AUS vs SA: Who Will Win?

Australia has been outplayed in both ODIs and faces the embarrassment of a home whitewash. They still have the bowling edge, but unless their top order fires, South Africa look set to continue their dominance. It is tempting to bet on the visitors, but we still expect the Australian brigade to hit back strong in this final match.

Bet on Australia to win.

AUS vs SA win percentage stands at 64% in favor of AUS.

Todays Match Prediction: Australia to Win.