AUS vs SA Match Prediction : 1st ODI Match, South Africa tour of Australia, 2025
AUS vs SA Win Probability
66%
Australia
34%
South Africa
Australia To Win, 1.45
Australia welcome back Travis Head, Josh Hazlewood, and a fit-again Matt Short, strengthening both batting and bowling
South Africa’s batting remains inconsistent in ODIs, heavily reliant on Bavuma and Markram.
The Aussies also have the X-factor of debutant Mitchell Owen, who impressed in the T20s with explosive middle-order hitting.
AUS vs SA Betting Tips
Marnus Labuschagne to score 30+ runs
Labuschagne has been retained for stability in the middle order, and Cairns’ slower surface suits his style. He also has a lot to prove.
Mitchell Owen to hit a six
Owen’s aggressive approach in T20s makes him a strong bet to clear the ropes even in his ODI debut. He just needs to clear the ropes once for you to get paid. Brilliant value!
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Australia
N/A
South Africa
N/A
Australia’s 2–1 T20I series win underlined their resilience at home, with Travis Head and Josh Hazlewood back to bolster the ODI squad. The spotlight, though, will be on debutant Mitchell Owen, whose explosive hitting in the T20s has generated real buzz.
South Africa arrives with questions over consistency. Bavuma and Markram remain their anchors, but the visitors need Brevis and Stubbs to carry T20 form into ODIs. With Rabada leading the attack, they have the firepower, but Australia’s depth makes them favourites in Cairns.
Also Check: Today's Cricket Betting Rates
Australia vs South Africa Head-to-Head Record
South Africa thrashed Australia three times in 2023 but have since struggled for consistency. Australia, meanwhile, remain up and down in ODIs but have the stronger squad at home.
Australia vs South Africa Live-streaming and Broadcast
Watch live on Disney+ Hotstar and Star Sports Network in India.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
AUS vs SA Team Previews
Australia
Australia begin a new ODI chapter without Smith and Maxwell, both recently retired from the format. The selectors have invested in youth and all-round depth, with Mitchell Owen earning his debut after a stellar T20 debut and domestic one-day form. His presence adds late-overs firepower.
Travis Head and Josh Hazlewood return after being rested, while Matt Short is fit again, strengthening the top and middle order. Marnus Labuschagne keeps his place, offering batting stability. Bowling looks sharp with Hazlewood, Zampa, and the pace of Lance Morris, who adds genuine heat.
Australia’s key advantage is batting depth and the ability to rotate all-rounders like Green, Marsh, and Short. Cairns’ pitch should suit their balanced attack.
Australia Expected Playing 11
Travis Head, Matt Short, Mitchell Marsh (C), Marnus Labuschagne, Josh Inglis (WK), Mitchell Owen, Cameron Green, Alex Carey, Lance Morris, Josh Hazlewood, Adam Zampa
Check Out: Best Cricket Betting Sites
South Africa
South Africa have the batting talent but lack consistency. Temba Bavuma and Aiden Markram carry most of the responsibility, while the exciting Dewald Brevis will look to translate T20 brilliance into ODIs. Ryan Rickelton and Stubbs offer promise but remain untested in longer formats.
Bowling remains stronger, with Rabada, Ngidi, and Maharaj forming a solid core. Nandre Burger’s left-arm pace and bounce could also trouble Australia in Cairns. But South Africa have historically struggled in Australian conditions, especially against disciplined pace.
The Proteas need early wickets and runs from Markram or Brevis to stay competitive.
South Africa Expected Playing 11
Temba Bavuma (C), Ryan Rickelton, Aiden Markram, Dewald Brevis, Tristan Stubbs, Wiaan Mulder, Matthew Breetzke (WK), Keshav Maharaj, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi, Nandre Burger
AUS vs SA Toss Prediction
Teams winning the toss in Cairns usually prefer to bowl first, with chasing made easier under lights. Expect both captains to lean that way.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Cazaly’s Stadium offers a balanced surface: early movement for seamers, grip for spinners, and true bounce for set batters. Scores around 270–290 are par. Weather in Cairns is expected to be clear and humid with no rain threat.
AUS vs SA: Who Will Win?
Australia’s home advantage, the return of Head and Hazlewood, and the explosive debut of Mitchell Owen make them clear favourites. South Africa will rely heavily on Markram and Brevis, but unless their bowling strikes early, Australia’s depth should prove decisive.
Bet on Australia to win.
AUS vs SA win percentage stands at 66% in favor of AUS.
Todays Match Prediction: Australia to Win.
