AUS vs SA Match Prediction : 3rd T20 Match, South Africa tour of Australia, 2025

South Africa’s record-breaking win in Darwin has blown the series wide open. Dewald Brevis’ incredible 125 not out completely changed the momentum, and South Africa’s bowling finally clicked. That said, Australia remains the more consistent T20 side at home and will still start as favourites in Cairns.

Australia’s middle order, led by Tim David, is firing, but their bowling took a rare hammering. South Africa’s challenge will be to back up a near-perfect batting performance with another disciplined display in the decider.

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Australia vs South Africa Head-to-Head Record

Australia has won its previous six out of the previous seven matches against South Africa.

Australia vs South Africa Live-streaming and Broadcast

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AUS vs SA Team Previews

Australia

Australia’s 2nd T20I loss was their first defeat while chasing in nine matches, a rare setback. Tim David once again stood out with a fluent 50, but the top order failed to build partnerships, leaving too much for the middle order to do.

For betting markets, David’s consistency is a positive signal, as is Travis Head’s ability to score quickly if he gets going.

The main concern will be their bowling. Hazlewood and Abbott still pose early threats, but apart from Dwarshuis’ economical spell (4-0-24-1), everyone else went at over 11 runs per over in Darwin. Adam Zampa, usually reliable in the middle overs, struggled against Brevis and Stubbs, but Cairns’ surface may assist him more.

Expect Australia to respond with a tighter bowling display in the decider.

Australia Expected Playing 11

Travis Head, Matthew Short, Mitchell Marsh (C), Glenn Maxwell, Tim David, Josh Inglis (WK), Cameron Green, Sean Abbott, Ben Dwarshuis, Josh Hazlewood, Adam Zampa

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South Africa

Dewald Brevis’ 125* was a generational innings, South Africa’s highest individual T20I score, and a masterclass in power hitting. His dominance in the ‘V’ and ability to clear boundaries at will made him almost unstoppable. Tristan Stubbs’ supporting role and a more disciplined catching display also contributed to the win.

With the ball, Corbin Bosch (3-20) and Kwena Maphaka (3 wickets) provided breakthroughs despite some expensive overs. Rabada’s dismissal of Tim David at a crucial stage sealed the result. For bettors, Brevis’ form makes “player to hit most sixes” markets interesting, and SA’s improved fielding could swing close games.

The key for South Africa will be early wickets and restricting Australia’s death-overs hitting, something they failed to do in the 1st T20I.

South Africa Expected Playing 11

Ryan Rickelton, Lhuan-dre Pretorius, Aiden Markram (C), Rassie van der Dussen, Tristan Stubbs, Dewald Brevis, Corbin Bosch, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi, Kwena Maphaka, Tabraiz Shamsi

AUS vs SA Toss Prediction

Teams winning the toss in Cairns often choose to bowl first, with chasing under lights generally easier. Expect both captains to lean that way.

Pitch Report and Weather Conditions

Cazaly’s Stadium in Cairns usually offers a balanced T20 surface, some early movement for quicks, grip for spinners, and true bounce for batters once set. Scores of 165–175 are par here. Weather is expected to be clear and humid, with no major rain threat.

AUS vs SA: Who Will Win?

Australia’s home advantage, batting depth, and bounce-back ability give them the edge. The loss in the previous match will only serve to fire up the Aussies even more. If Brevis or Markram fires, the visitors could cause an upset, but consistency favours the hosts.

Bet on Australia to win.

AUS vs SA win percentage stands at 68% in favor of AUS.

Todays Match Prediction: Australia to Win.