Scheduled
PAK vs NZ 2025

New Zealand

Pakistan

Starts in

A day

Apr 04, 202510:00 PM3rd MatchBay Oval - Mount Maunganui, New Zealand

NZ vs PAK Match Prediction : Pakistan Tour of New Zealand 2025, 3rd ODI – Who Will Win Today’s Match Between NZ and PAK?

NZ vs PAK Win Probability

58%

New Zealand

42%

Pakistan

New Zealand To Win, 1.65

New Zealand has dominated the T20 series and is now clearly the better ODI side also

Pakistan's bowling has really struggled in the series

We think New Zealand's fielding and its depth in batting will help it win

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Place Bet ► odds 1.65

NZ vs PAK Betting Tips

Mohammad Rizwan to score Under 26.5 runs

Rizwan has struggled in his recent outings against New Zealand. He has been able to cross the 26-run mark just twice in his last 6 innings against them and we expect his troubles to continue.

Jacob Duffy to pick up Over 1.5 wickets

Duffy is among the leading wicket-takers of this series. His recent form has been excellent as well. He has picked up at least 2 wickets in 4 of his last 5 outings. As the pitch at Bay Oval does help the seamers, we are backing Duffy to bowl a good spell.

New Zealand will look to complete a clean sweep against Pakistan as they face each other for the 3rd and final ODI of this tour on Saturday. The match will be played at the Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui.

Also Check: Today's IPL Betting Rates

The two teams have faced each other in 121 matches to date. New Zealand won 56 while Pakistan won 61. 3 matches ended without any result while one was tied.

New Zealand vs Pakistan Live-streaming and Broadcast

This match can be watched live on the FanCode App and Sony Sports Network.

NZ vs PAK Team Previews

New Zealand

Despite not playing with its first-choice eleven, New Zealand has put up a clinical performance in the ODI series. The team has won both the matches played so far convincingly and will look to end the tour on a high.

The young batsmen have slotted in perfectly into the line-up. Rhys Mariu, who was making his international debut on Wednesday, played well to put up a stable opening partnership with Nick Kelly. Muhammad Abbas and Mitchell Hay have been pretty solid in the middle order, with Hay scoring an unbeaten 99 runs in the previous match to take his team to a match-winning total.

The batting unit also has experienced batsmen like Daryl Mitchell, Henry Nicholls, and Michael Bracewell. Mark Chapman, who missed the last match due to an injury, is likely to be fit for this match, further bolstering the unit. The bowlers have performed equally well for the hosts.

Ben Sears bowled a brilliant spell on Wednesday to pick up a fifer. Jacob Duffy and Nathan Smith have picked up 5 wickets as well. The spinners however haven’t had much to do so far.

New Zealand Expected Playing 11

Mark Chapman, Nick Kelly, Daryl Mitchell, Henry Nicholls, Michael Bracewell (C), Mitchell Hay(WK), Muhammad Abbas, Nathan Smith, Jacob Duffy, Ben Sears, William O’Rourke

Pakistan

Pakistan’s poor form seems to have no end, especially against the Black Caps. The team put up another meek performance and has already lost the series. They will now hope to redeem themselves and seek a compensatory victory in the last match of this tour.

The frontline batsmen including Imam ul Haq, Mohammad Rizwan, Abdullah Shafique, and Tayyab Tahir have struggled to get going, putting enormous pressure on the other batsmen. Babar Azam did score a half-century in the first match but was dismissed for just one run on Wednesday as the visitors lost half the side with just 32 runs on the board.

The only silver lining for Pakistan was Faheem Ashraf, who scored a brilliant 73 runs under pressure and put up a 60-run partnership with Naseem Shah, who came in as a concussion substitute for Haris Rauf, for the 9th wicket. The latter scored his maiden ODI half-century as well.

However, it was too little too late to make any difference to the end result. The bowling has been pretty ordinary as well. Pakistan will need its seam trio of Haris Rauf, Mohammad Wasim Jr, and Akif Javed to step up and pick up early wickets with the new ball.

Pakistan Expected Playing 11

Abdullah Shafique, Imam ul Haq, Babar Azam, Mohammad Rizwan (C & WK), Salman Agha, Tayyab Tahir, Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Waseem Jr, Naseem Shah, Akif Javed, Sufiyan Muqeem

NZ vs PAK Toss Prediction

Half of the last 10 ODIs played at Bay Oval were won by teams batting first, while the other half were won while chasing. It has been a similar story at the toss as well. Half of the time, the team winning the toss has opted to bat first, while on 5 occasions, the team winning the toss opted to field. Looking at the recent trend, batting first might be a better option.

Pitch and Conditions

The Bay Oval is one of the highest-scoring venues in New Zealand and we can expect plenty of runs here. While the average first-inning score here is around 272, the team batting first will look to cross the 300-run mark. While the ball does move around during the first few overs, it gets easier to bat as the innings progresses.

The spinners can expect some help during the second half. The weather is likely to be cloudy with temperatures between 20 and 25 degrees.

NZ vs PAK: Who Will Win?

We will back New Zealand to win this match. They have outplayed Pakistan in all aspects of the game and we expect them to continue playing well. The latter struggled in the T20 series and ODIs as well and it is unlikely that they will bounce back.

NZ vs PAK Win percentage is 58% in favor of New Zealand.

Todays Match Prediction: New Zealand to win

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OCBscores writer and Cricket Strategist Archana
Archana LuthriaCricket Strategist

Archana Luthria is a cricket strategist who deeply understands the game's intricacies. A former player herself, Archana brings a player's perspective to her analysis. She's worked with various cricket teams and academies, honing her skills in game planning and execution.

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