NZ vs AUS Match Prediction : 3rd T20, Australia tour of New Zealand, 2025
NZ vs AUS Win Probability
6%
New Zealand
94%
Australia
Australia To Win, 1.50
New Zealand has lost 6 of its last 7 home games
Australia’s batting line-up is much stronger compared to that of New Zealand
Australia has the depth to play ultra aggressive cricket and always keep coming hard at the opposition
NZ vs AUS Betting Tips
Tim Seifert to score Under 19.5 runs
Tim Seifert’s form against Australia hasn’t been the best, and he has failed to cross the 19-run mark even once in his 9 innings against them. As he faces a strong seam unit, we expect his woes to continue.
Most Sixes - Australia
The sheer number of six hitters in the Australian lineup makes this bet worth considering. Any one of them can smash five or more sixes on their day alone. New Zealand is not going to be able match this six hitting on most days.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
Australia
As the second match of the series was washed out, Australia will retain the Chappell-Hadlee trophy, thanks to their unassailable lead in the 3-match series. Nevertheless, New Zealand will look to end the tournament on a high as they face the visitors one last time this weekend. The match will be played at the Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui on Saturday.
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New Zealand vs Australia Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other in 21 matches to date. Australia won 16 while New Zealand won 4. One match ended without a result.
New Zealand vs Australia Live-streaming and Broadcast
The third T20I between New Zealand and Australia at Bay Oval will be held on Saturday, 4th October 2025. In India, the match will be broadcast on the Sony Sports Network and available on the SonyLIV app.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
NZ vs AUS Team Previews
New Zealand
New Zealand suffered a humiliating defeat in the first T20 and were robbed of a chance to equalize after rain played spoilsport on Friday. Nevertheless, they have one last chance to equalize the series on Saturday.
New Zealand isn’t likely to experiment much as it looks to save the series. They made as many as three changes in the playing eleven before the start of the last match and are likely to persist with that. James Neesham is likely to come in to strengthen the middle order. He is a quality batsman who can play the big shots during the death overs and also provides a dependable alternative in the seam department.
However, the top and middle order look relatively unchanged as Tim Seifert, Devon Conway, Tim Robinson, and Daryl Mitchell retain their place.
New Zealand’s bowling was below par in the previous game, and that is one area where the team will look to improve. Ben Sears comes in to strengthen the pace department as he joins Matt Henry and Jacob Duffy, while Ish Sodhi comes in to support Michael Bracewell in the spin attack.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Tim Seifert (WK), Devon Conway, Tim Robinson, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell (C), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy, Ish Sodhi, Ben Sears
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Australia
Now that Australia has retained the trophy, they could make some changes to their playing XI as it tests the bench ahead of the T20 World Cup next year. However, that doesn’t mean that there will be a lack of intensity on the field.
Travis Head and Mitchell Marsh will reprise their role at the top of the order. Head has had a relatively silent tournament so far and will look to play a big knock here. With Marsh being in excellent form, there won’t be much pressure on him here.
The middle order bears a familiar look thanks to the presence of Tim David, Matthew Short, and Alex Carey, while Marcus Stoinis and Mitchell Owen will feature as the all-rounders.
Australia is likely to include one more all-rounder, Sean Abbott, who is also an excellent fast bowler. He will support Xavier Bartlett and Josh Hazlewood in the pace department while Adam Zampa is likely to retain his place.
Australia Expected Playing 11
Mitchell Marsh (C), Travis Head, Matthew Short, Alex Carey (WK), Tim David, Mitchell Owen, Marcus Stoinis, Sean Abbott, Xavier Bartlett, Josh Hazlewood, Adam Zampa
NZ vs AUS Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at Bay Oval is likely to be good to bat on. The surface is flat and hard, offering excellent pace and bounce. There is some green grass on the top, which could help the seamers during the Powerplay. However, once the batsmen settle down, playing shots will get easier.
The team batting first will aim for the 200-run mark. The weather forecast doesn’t look promising for this match. There is a high probability that we may see rain, forcing the DLS or even forfeiture.
NZ vs AUS: Who Will Win?
We are backing Australia to win this match. They were clinical in their performance during the first match and are likely to continue playing well. New Zealand has a strong team as well, but they lack the experience and could struggle here.
Bet on Australia to win.
| Pro Tip: The first match played here was very high run-scoring even though New Zealand lost some early wickets. The short boundaries make run scoring easy and the possibility of high-scoring overs is excellent. I would recommend finding the 'Runs in Highest Scoring Over of Match' market and laying a big stake to go 'Over'. Australia scored 21 runs in the previous match and I think at least one more such over is likely in this match. |
NZ vs AUS win percentage stands at 66% in favor of AUS.
Todays Match Prediction: Australia to Win.
