IND vs NZ Match Prediction : 1st ODI, New Zealand tour of India, 2026
IND vs NZ Win Probability
77%
India
23%
New Zealand
India To Win, 1.15
India has won each of its last 7 matches against New Zealand
The last time New Zealand won an ODI in India was back in 2017
New Zealand is playing without a lot of its key players, making it quite vulnerable and an easy target
IND vs NZ Betting Tips
Daryl Mitchell to score over 28.5 runs
Daryl Mitchell was the leading run-scorer for New Zealand in 2025, scoring 706 runs at an average of over 64 runs. He has scored at least He has scored at least 29 in 8 of his last 9 innings, including 4 half-centuries and a century. Mitchell has scored two centuries and a half-century in his last 4 matches against India, and we are backing him to play a good knock in this match.
India total runs before fall of 1st wicket - Over 32.5
India is likely to open its batting with Shubman Gill and Rohit Sharma. The duo has an excellent record as an opening pair, averaging over 65 runs across 35 innings. They have scored at least 33 runs as a pair in 6 of the 7 matches against New Zealand, including 4 partnerships of 50+, 1 partnership of 100+, and 1 partnership of 200+. Another good opening partnership may be on the horizon.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
India
N/A
New Zealand
N/A
New Zealand is set to embark on a 20-day tour of India, where it will face the hosts in a 3-match ODI series, followed by a 5-match T20 series. The first ODI will be played in Vadodara at the Kotambi Stadium on Sunday.
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India vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record
The two teams have faced each other in 120 matches to date. India won 62 while New Zealand won 50. 6 matches ended without a result, while one ended in a tie. India has also won the previous 7 ODI's it has played against New Zealand.
India vs New Zealand Live-streaming and Broadcast
Matches in Bangladesh are televised on T Sports and GTV, with live streaming available on RabbitholeBD and the T Sports app. In India, BPL is streamed live on FanCode (app and website), which holds the official digital rights.
Viewers in Pakistan can watch via Tapmad, which carries BPL streaming in the region. In the UK and USA, coverage is available through Willow (TV/app) in many packages, sometimes supplemented by Rabbithole’s YouTube presence when permitted.
In the UAE and wider MENA, BPL access is typically through digital platforms that carry Rabbithole or Willow feeds, with availability varying slightly by provider, so checking local IPTV/OTT sports bundles is recommended.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
IND vs NZ Team Previews
India
Fresh off its 2-1 win in the ODI series against South Africa in December last year, India will hope to begin its first assignment of the New Year with a win as it takes on New Zealand on home turf.
The hosts have retained most of the players that faced South Africa, with only 3 changes. Tilak Varma, Dhruv Jurel, and Ruturaj Gaikwad have been left out and have been replaced by Shubman Gill, Shreyas Iyer, and Mohammed Siraj, while the rest of the squad remains the same.
Gill and Iyer have both been nursing injuries and have been resting for the last couple of months. However, the duo has since recovered and will add heft to the batting line-up as they join the likes of Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Yashasvi Jaiswal, KL Rahul, and Rishabh Pant.
India has as many as three all-rounders in the squad. While Ravindra Jadeja is certain to play, it could be a toss-up between Nitish Reddy and Washington Sundar. Kuldeep Yadav is likely to lead the spin department, while Arshdeep Singh could join Siraj in the pace attack.
India Expected Playing 11
Shubman Gill (C), Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, KL Rahul (WK), Shreyas Iyer, Ravindra Jadeja, Nitish Reddy, Kuldeep Yadav, Arshdeep Singh, Mohammed Siraj, Harshit Rana
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New Zealand
New Zealand has been in red-hot form in the ODI format and is on a 9-match winning streak as they begin this tour. However, defeating India on their home turf is a difficult prospect, and the visitors need to be at the top of their game.
New Zealand will be without some of its key players, including Kane Williamson, Mitchell Santner, Rachin Ravindra, Jacob Duffy, and Tom Latham. They are either serving prior commitments or have been rested ahead of the upcoming T20 World Cup. This leaves a relatively young but talented squad to face India.
Devon Conway, Henry Nicholls, and Will Young are likely to form the top order, while skipper Michael Bracewell will join Daryl Mitchell and Glenn Phillips in the middle order. New Zealand has included a couple of uncapped players in the form of Kristian Clarke and Jayden Lennox, as well as relative freshers including Adithya Ashok, Josh Clarkson, and Michael Rae.
Kyle Jamieson makes a comeback after recovering from an injury and will lead the pace attack alongside Zakary Foulkes.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Devon Conway (WK), Henry Nicholls, Will Young, Glenn Phillips, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell (C), Kyle Jamieson, Zakary Foulkes, Adithya Ashok, Michael Rae, Jayden Lennox
IND vs NZ Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss will likely opt to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
This is the first ODI that will be played at this venue, and it remains to be seen how it will behave over the course of the match. However, the past few WODIs that were played here saw a batting-friendly pitch with very good pace and bounce. The quicker bowlers have to be accurate with their line and length, and any loose deliveries will be punished.
The team batting first will look to score around 300 runs. The weather is likely to remain clear with temperatures under 30 degrees. There might be some dew during the second half of the match.
IND vs NZ: Who Will Win?
We are backing India to win this match. They have a brilliant record at home, and with most of their players in good form, we expect them to play well. New Zealand is without some of its key players and is likely to struggle here.
Bet on India to win.
