Stumps
Australia
181/10 in 51.0
0/0 in 0.0
India
185/10 in 72.2
141/6 in 32.0
44%
Australia
11%
Tie
45%
India
Australia To Win, 1.45
Australia hasn’t lost a Test match at the SCG since 2011
The last time India won at the SCG was back in 1978. Since then, the team has suffered 4 losses and has played 6 draws
Barring Jasprit Bumrah, Indian bowlers have been ineffective
Rohit Sharma’s scores in the first innings of the last 3 matches are 3, 10, and 3. He has crossed the 20-run mark in only 1 of his previous 8 such innings. We expect his poor run to continue. This is a relatively easy bet with a surprisingly decent payout.
Sam Konstas and Usman Khawaja scored individual half-centuries in the first innings of the last match. The duo seemed to be in fine touch and we are backing them to form a good partnership.
India will look to level the series and retain the Border Gavaskar Trophy when it faces Australia for the final match of the series starting Friday. The two teams will clash at the SCG.
The two teams have played each other in 111 matches. Australia has won 47 games, while India has won 33. 30 games ended in a draw, while 1 was a tie.
This match will be live-streamed on the Disney+ Hotstar App. One can also watch it live on the Star Sports Network.
Barring losing in the first Test match at Perth, Australia has been the better team throughout this series. The team has grabbed opportunities that have come their way at key moments and have gained an unassailable lead in the 5-match series.
Sam Konstas lived up to the hype he had created in the domestic circuit and slammed a blistering half-century on debut. He will retain his place in the opening slot along with Usman Khawaja. The latter was having a lean series so far but the half-century at the MCG would have boosted his confidence.
Marnus Labuschagne scored half-centuries in both innings while Steve Smith scored the 34th century of his career. Given the form of its top 4 batsmen, Australia could potentially be looking at another good score.
Travis Head can never be counted out against India and even though Mitchell Marsh has not contributed much with the bat he is unlikely to be dropped.
The fitness of Mitchell Starc is a bit of a concern after he picked up an injury at the MCG. Should he be unavailable for selection, Starc could be replaced by either Jhye Richardson or Sean Abbott.
*UPDATE: Alex Carey made a statement saying that he expected Mitchell Starc to pull through and play the Sydney Test
Pat Cummins and Scott Boland are the other two seamers, while Nathan Lyon remains indispensable during the last couple of days of any game. This Australian bowling attack has been unstoppable as a unit and will be confident of getting the better of the Indians in Sydney as well.
India will need to do a lot of introspection before it heads into this contest. If they lose this match, they will lose the series and the opportunity to compete in the WTC finals.
Barring a few sparks of individual performances, the batting from India has been pretty ordinary. Yashasvi Jaiswal and KL Rahul have played a couple of good knocks, while Nitish Reddy has been an impressive find as a batter that can roll his arm over for a few overs.
Reddy is by no means an all-rounder and playing him as one could be one of the things that is holding India back.
The biggest concern for the team will be the form of Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli. Sharma has managed to score only 31 runs in 5 innings, while Virat Kohli hasn’t crossed the 40-run mark after scoring a century at Perth. It looks like the end is close for both these former greats and hoping form them to turn back time in Sydney might be more wishful thinking.
Rishabh Pant has been reckless with his shot selection, and Ravindra Jadeja has often run out of partners at the other end. India's batting lineup has shown potential for short phases but has not really been able to display the kind of steel needed to dominate Australia.
The bowling has been rather inconsistent as well. While Jasprit Bumrah remains the series’s leading wicket-taker, he needs better support from Mohammed Siraj and Akash Deep. Ravindra Jadeja and Washington Sundar have been unable to apply pressure with the old ball and that has allowed the opposition to score runs.
As the fate of some seniors hangs in the balance, the visitors will be desperate to turn things around.
The team winning the toss will likely opt to bat first. The pitch tends to spin here as the match goes on and having a score on the board can be considered a big advantage.
The pitch at the SCG is balanced and we can expect another engaging contest. The surface isn’t the quickest, especially when compared to The Gabba or the MCG but the ball does swing a bit when it is new.
Once the new ball is seen off, scoring runs will get easier. The average first-inning score here in the last 5 years is around 436.
The spinners can expect help on the last 2 days and the ball keeps a bit low and turns quite a bit. The weather will remain overcast on Friday but things should clear out during the weekend. However, the rain may return on the final day.
Australia has played some excellent cricket in the last couple of weeks and we expect them to continue with that momentum. India will be low on confidence and needs to come up with something special if they want to win here. With Australia's best batters in form and their bowling attack firing, we don't think India has much of a chance of victory.
You can opt to hedge on the Draw keeping the weather in mind but we would still go for the outright win for Australia.
Bet on Australia to win.
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