NZ vs ENG Match Prediction : 1st ODI, England tour of New Zealand, 2025
NZ vs ENG Win Probability
42%
New Zealand
58%
England
England To Win, 1.60
England's batting is very strong and clearly superior to New Zealand's
Genuine pace and wicket taking ability makes the English bowling unit very dangerous
Harry Brook is one of the best batters in the game and we think he will have a big impact
NZ vs ENG Betting Tips
England total runs in the first 2 overs to be over 9.5 runs
. The aggressive England openers are unlikely to disappoint with this one. England’s previous opening over alone against New Zealand featured 12 runs. Another fast start is likely.
England not to have a dismissal in the first over
This is low-risk low-reward betting market that we like. The added time in the 50 Overs format plays in your favor. Add it to a multi bet or just bank the profits.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
New Zealand
N/A
England
N/A
England won the previous ODI against New Zealand at this venue. The team has picked a consistent squad that thumped South Africa in its last ODI. That momentum should carry on into this New Zealand series.
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New Zealand vs England Head-to-Head Record
England has won three of the past five ODIs against New Zealand. New Zealand has won twice in the past five matches, including the match against England in the ICC Men’s ODI World Cup in 2023.
New Zealand vs England Live-streaming and Broadcast
The New Zealand vs England first ODI will be broadcast live in India on Sony Sports Ten 1, with live streaming available on the SonyLiv app. The match will be on Sunday, 26 October 2025, at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
NZ vs ENG Team Previews
New Zealand
The batting order leans far too heavily on Kane Williamson. By the same token, Williamson’s low strike rate can also cause issues when the tempo needs a lift. Conway’s form is not what it once was. Will Young has yet to convince as a long-term option.
Tom Latham has lost his spark of old. His last three innings have only brought 32 runs with the bat. Michael Bracewell has not nailed down a clear role as either finisher or frontline bowler.
The bowling attack is equally uninspiring. Matt Henry can be dangerous with the new ball, but that effect fades quickly once the ball loses its swing. Having not played an ODI since March, Henry might take time to get back into the format. Jacob Duffy and Nathan Smith lack the pace or variety to trouble top-class batters. Smith has been far from anything special in international cricket.
The all-rounder has gone at nearly seven runs per over with the ball. Santner and Bracewell offer control but little penetration. Santner’s captaincy risks being reactive rather than assertive like his counterpart from England, Harry Brook.
The majority of this side would’ve suffered the loss at the hands of India in the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 final. An England side with renewed energy will make it difficult for the side to regather momentum in the format.
New Zealand Expected Playing 11
Will Young, Rachin Ravindra, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (wk), Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Nathan Smith, Jacob Duffy, Matt Henry
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England
Jamie Smith offers youthful confidence and clean stroke play. Ben Duckett brings his fearless, high-tempo approach that can unsettle new-ball bowlers. Joe Root remains the master craftsman, able to absorb pressure and guide innings with his unmatched consistency.
The inclusion of Jacob Bethell adds freshness and versatility. Root and Bethell both hit centuries in the side’s mammoth 414 for five against South Africa.
The middle order is a powerhouse. Harry Brook is already a proven match-winner. Alongside him, Jos Buttler provides explosive finishing. His last ODI innings was 62 not out off 32 balls. Sam Curran adds balance as a genuine all-rounder who can blast the ball over the boundary or produce wickets out of nowhere.
The pace attack is dynamic and varied. Jamie Overton and Brydon Carse bring height, bounce, and hostility. Jofra Archer’s return injects raw pace and X-factor across phases. Spinner Adil Rashid remains capable of breaking partnerships and turning games in the middle overs.
The bowling unit was on fire in the side’s last ODI. The team skittled South Africa for 72 all out, with Jofra Archer’s four for 18 playing a huge role in that.
With Brook’s fearless leadership, Buttler’s finishing and Archer’s firepower, England look not just competitive but genuinely threatening in New Zealand conditions.
England Expected Playing 11
Jamie Smith, Ben Duckett, Joe Root, Jacob Bethell, Harry Brook (c), Jos Buttler (wk), Sam Curran, Jamie Overton, Brydon Carse, Jofra Archer, Adil Rashid
NZ vs ENG Toss Prediction
Eight of the past nine ODIs between New Zealand and England in New Zealand have fallen the way of the side batting second. Both captains are likely to want to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
As with most grounds around the country, the new ball could offer wicket-taking opportunities from seam movement off the pitch. The batters should cash in on the fun as the game moves along, with a quick outfield and true pace and bounce. Across both innings, the total number of runs in the previous ODI at the ground was 485 runs.
The forecast shows a mostly cloudy day expected for this match. Temperatures will be moderate and humidity levels will be high. There is an 11 percent chance of rain.
NZ vs ENG: Who Will Win?
The English are blessed with talent across the board with their batting depth. The home side may face the problem of a huge reliance on Kane Williamson to fire. The visitors’ seam attack will be another area where they can outdo the hosts.
Bet on England to win.
