ST vs PS Match Prediction : 16th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
ST vs PS Win Probability
44%
Sydney Thunder
56%
Perth Scorchers
Sydney Thunder To Win, 2.20
The Thunder have had the Scorchers' number recently, winning both encounters in 2025, making this a good opportunity to back the underdog.
Playing at the Sydney Showground Stadium gives the Thunder a significant edge, where crowd support and familiarity with conditions play a huge role.
David Warner remains one of the premier T20 batters in the world and could be a the deciding factor of this contest.
ST vs PS Betting Tips
The best result of the first partnership to be from Perth Scorchers
This market highlights a significant experience gap. The Thunder are fielding a relatively green opening pair in Sam Konstas and Matthew Gilkes. In contrast, the Scorchers boast the seasoned international quality of Marsh and Allen. Backing the more established, stable partnership to outperform the rookies offers outstanding value.
Perth Scorchers total runs before first dismissal to be over 19.5 runs
We are banking on the explosive pedigree of Perth’s opening duo. With high-powered international stars Mitchell Marsh and Finn Allen at the crease, the intent will be to attack the new ball during the Powerplay. They combined for a solid 25-run stand in their last outing against the Hurricanes, and we expect them to clear this 19.5 run line comfortably again.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Sydney Thunder
Perth Scorchers
The Sydney Thunder offer excellent value as underdogs here. They will look to land early blows against a Scorchers side that has looked shaky. With a spin attack suited to this surface and a batting lineup capable of big scores, the Thunder have all the tools required to secure victory.
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Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers Head-to-Head Record
Momentum is firmly with the men in lime green. The Thunder swept both games against the Scorchers earlier this year, halting Perth's previous streak of back-to-back wins.
Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
ST vs PS Team Previews
Sydney Thunder
The Thunder look formidable on home soil, riding a wave of historical dominance over Perth this year. Shadab Khan has evolved into the side’s linchpin all-rounder, while the spin department is bolstered by Tanveer Sangha and the ever-economical Chris Green, who conceded just 8 runs in 2 overs against the Stars.
The pace battery is equally dangerous, with Daniel Sams’ deceptive cutters and Reece Topley’s awkward bounce likely to cause chaos at the death. While openers Sam Konstas and Matthew Gilkes are young, they bring fearless energy.
However, the key wicket remains David Warner. After a superb 400+ run season in 2024/25, if Warner fires early, the Scorchers will be under the pump for the entire 20 overs.
Sydney Thunder Expected Playing 11
Sam Konstas, Matthew Gilkes, David Warner (c), Cameron Bancroft, Sam Billings (wk), Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Tanveer Sangha, Ryan Hadley, Reece Topley
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Perth Scorchers
Finn Allen showed his destructive potential with a blistering 43 off 23 balls against Hobart, but he lacked support. The failure of Australian heavyweights Cooper Connolly, Aaron Hardie, and captain Ashton Turner—who managed single digits—resulted in a lackluster total of 150/8.
Bowling remains their stronger suit, though selection headaches persist. Cooper Connolly’s spin could be vital on this Sydney deck, but the Scorchers' traditional reliance on pace has backfired recently; Aaron Hardie leaked 42 runs in 3 overs last match.
While the Scorchers look balanced on paper, they need a cohesive team effort to challenge a confident Thunder outfit at home.
Perth Scorchers Expected Playing 11
Mitchell Marsh, Finn Allen (wk), Cooper Connolly, Aaron Hardie, Ashton Turner (c), Laurie Evans, Nick Hobson, Ashton Agar, Joel Paris, Brody Couch, Mahli Beardman
ST vs PS Toss Prediction
Recent trends point to a clear advantage for the chasing side. Aside from the most recent clash, the previous four meetings between these two were won by the team batting second. Expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Sydney Showground Stadium usually offers a fair contest. Batters can trust the consistent bounce, while the new ball will offer a hint of movement for the seamers. Spinners may come into play as the game progresses and the pitch slows slightly. Last season, the Thunder posted a competitive 158/7 here against Perth.
The forecast is perfect for cricket: sunny skies, zero chance of rain, and warm conditions without excessive humidity.
ST vs PS: Who Will Win?
The Sydney Thunder are primed to come out guns blazing in front of their home crowd. Conversely, the Perth Scorchers are navigating a bumpy patch with two consecutive losses and little sign of a turnaround. Given the high odds (2.15) and the "David Warner factor," backing the home team is the smart play.
Bet on Sydney Thunder to win.
