SS vs MS Match Prediction : 11th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
SS vs MS Win Probability
51%
Sydney Sixers
49%
Melbourne Stars
Sydney Sixers To Win, 1.90
The Sydney Sixers come into this clash with winning momentum after their latest victory in the tournament.
The home side boasts excellent versatility and variety in its bowling lineup, with pace and spin options for all phases.
Sydney’s batting unit runs deep, with aggressive options down to number eight who can also clear the ropes effectively.
SS vs MS Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars total runs before first dismissal under 19.5
The Melbourne Stars’ opening partnership remains a clear weakness that Sydney will look to exploit. Their previous outing against the Sixers produced an opening stand of just 16 runs, underlining the fragility at the top. With the Stars’ top order still searching for consistency, backing the under 19.5 runs before the first wicket falls offers solid value for bettors targeting early-innings markets.
Melbourne Stars total runs if batting first under 172.5
This is a high-value option for punters looking for a strong risk–reward angle. The Stars have repeatedly struggled to put up big scores at the SCG, averaging around 144 in their last 10 innings at this venue, with a lowest total of 61. Given Sydney’s varied attack and home advantage, the under 172.5 runs line looks a smart play if the Stars bat first.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Stars
The Sydney Sixers should approach this contest with confidence against a Melbourne Stars outfit still searching for complete performances. The head-to-head edge and superior balance across departments suggest the Sixers have more tools to close out key moments than their opponents.
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Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings between these two sides, the Sydney Sixers have a narrow advantage. They have won three of those matches, while the Melbourne Stars have claimed two, reflecting a competitive but slightly Sixers-favoured rivalry.
Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
SS vs MS Team Previews
Sydney Sixers
The Sydney Sixers enter another BBL season carrying a proud record as one of the league’s most successful franchises. Pakistani superstar Babar Azam is still new to Australian conditions but has already shown his class with a half-century.
Wicketkeeper-batter Josh Philippe is in explosive touch, recently smashing a stunning 96 off 57 balls in the Sydney derby, while Daniel Hughes brings proven title-winning experience at the top of the order.
Captain Moises Henriques and Jordan Silk form a composed and powerful middle order capable of stabilising or accelerating as required. Kane Richardson adds seasoned BBL know-how with the ball, and Ben Dwarshuis has lifted his game since his international exposure.
Young all-rounder Jack Edwards impressed with a five-wicket haul in the derby, and promising spinners Todd Murphy and Jafer Chohan offer the ability to turn the ball both ways and control the middle overs.
Sydney Sixers Expected Playing 11
Daniel Hughes, Babar Azam, Josh Philippe (wk), Ben Dwarshuis, Moises Henriques (c), Jack Edwards, Joel Davies, Jordan Silk, Todd Murphy, Jafer Chohan, Kane Richardson
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Melbourne Stars
The Stars’ recent wins over the Hurricanes and Strikers have slightly masked deeper structural issues within the side. Much of their success has come from individual brilliance, particularly from captain Marcus Stoinis, who has produced knocks of 62* off 31 and 32* off 22, though he was expensive with the ball against the Strikers.
Against a well-rounded Sixers outfit at the SCG, relying so heavily on one player becomes a high-risk strategy.
The prolonged dip in Glenn Maxwell’s form is a major concern, leaving a gap in the middle order when quick runs are needed. With the ball, the Stars lean heavily on veteran Peter Siddle to set the tone, and while experience is valuable, the pressure on him will be immense on a relatively batting-friendly surface.
Haris Rauf brings express pace and X-factor but can be inconsistent with his lines and lengths, and the overall attack lacks variation with a heavy skew towards right-arm pace. If luck deserts their key players on the day, the Stars could quickly find themselves under serious pressure.
Melbourne Stars Expected Playing 11
Joe Clarke, Sam Harper (wk), Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis (c), Hilton Cartwright, Thomas Rogers, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
SS vs MS Toss Prediction
Captains at Adelaide Oval often prefer to bowl first in night games to gauge conditions and then chase with the ball skidding on under lights.
Both teams won their opening fixtures while chasing, and with recent BBL trendlines also favouring the team batting second at this venue, expect the toss winner to opt for the field.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Batters typically enjoy their time in the middle at the Sydney Cricket Ground, where stroke-play is rewarded once set. Fast bowlers can extract assistance with the new ball, but their job gets tougher as it softens, bringing spinners increasingly into the game on one of Australia’s more spin-friendly T20 surfaces.
Sydney’s average first-innings total in the last 10 home matches sits around the mid-160s, suggesting a competitive par score in that range.
The weather forecast points to warm and humid conditions with partial sunshine on matchday. There is a small chance of rain, around 25 percent, but it is unlikely to be enough to seriously threaten a full game.
SS vs MS: Who Will Win?
Facing the Sydney Sixers at the SCG is always a demanding assignment, especially for a Stars side still searching for collective consistency. Melbourne will need something special from their big names to overturn the odds, while Sydney’s depth with both bat and ball makes them the more reliable betting option.
Bet on Sydney Sixers to win.
