MS vs HH Match Prediction : 5th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
MS vs HH Win Probability
44%
MS
56%
HH
Melbourne Stars To Win, 2.14
The Stars are playing at the MCG, a venue where they understand the dimensions and conditions better than anyone.
The home team boasts a deeper roster of all-rounders compared to the visitors.
The Melbourne Stars have already beaten the Hobart Hurricanes earlier this year, giving them the mental upper hand.
MS vs HH Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars to score a boundary four in the first over
The Stars are primed to attack from ball one, making this a high-value selection. In their previous encounter against the Hurricanes, they wasted no time finding the rope in the opening over. With explosive openers who are instructed to maximize the powerplay, backing the Stars to hit a four in the first six balls is a calculated play with solid potential returns.
Total runs in the first over for Hobart Hurricanes to be over 5.5 runs
History suggests the Hurricanes will look to put the foot on the gas immediately. When these two sides last met, Hobart smashed 17 runs off the opening over, seizing the momentum early. With a top order that likes to use the pace of the ball, the Hurricanes are likely to clear the 5.5 run line, making this an attractive market for punters looking for quick profit.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Stars
Hobart Hurricanes
The team from Melbourne will be looking to set the tone early against the reigning champions. With a dynamic mix of exciting local talent and international firepower, the Stars could be the underdogs to back in this match!
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Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record over the past five matches suggests a fierce rivalry, though the momentum is shifting. While the results have alternated, creating an interesting battle for neutrals, the Melbourne side holds the edge with three wins compared to Hobart’s two. The Stars have consistently found ways to win the close encounters.
Melbourne Stars vs Hobart Hurricanes Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MS vs HH Team Previews
Melbourne Stars
Marcus Stoinis leads the charge in a squad stacked with T20 pedigree. The explosive Glenn Maxwell remains arguably the biggest threat on the field; the global icon is averaging over 50 at a strike rate of almost 190 in his last nine BBL matches—stats that scream "match-winner."
Joe Clarke adds further firepower to the top order, bringing nearly 6000 global T20 runs to the crease.
The bowling attack is equally formidable. Peter Siddle needs no introduction; with over 100 BBL wickets and two five-wicket hauls, his experience at the death is invaluable. The raw pace of Pakistani superstar Haris Rauf pushes the team to the next level, while English all-rounder Tom Curran adds proven wicket-taking ability to the mix.
With crafty leg-spinner Mitchell Swepson squeezing the middle overs, the Melbourne Stars look to have every base covered on their home turf.
Melbourne Stars Expected Playing 11
Sam Harper (wk), Joe Clarke, Campbell Kellaway, Marcus Stoinis (c), Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Rogers, Tom Curran, Peter Siddle, Haris Rauf, Mitchell Swepson
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Hobart Hurricanes
The Hurricanes have tasted success recently, but much of that has relied on individual brilliance rather than cohesive team performance. Getting a changed lineup to gel, especially away from home at the daunting MCG, will be a massive challenge.
Their batting stability hinges on Mitchell Owen firing at the top. While Owen had a purple patch last season, he has struggled to replicate that form recently. The reliance on veteran Matthew Wade and the notoriously inconsistent Ben McDermott is a significant risk for bettors; Wade, in particular, underwhelmed with just 168 runs last BBL season.
Furthermore, banking on international spinners Rehan Ahmed and Rishad Hossain carries risk due to potential national commitments affecting their availability. The pace attack, led by Riley Meredith, offers speed but lacks control—Meredith leaked 45 runs in four overs against the Thunder recently.
Currently, the Hobart Hurricanes present far more risk than security for savvy bettors.
Hobart Hurricanes Expected Playing 11
Mitchell Owen, Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott, Tim David, Matthew Wade (wk), Rehan Ahmed, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis (c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith, Billy Stanlake
MS vs HH Toss Prediction
Fielding first has been the dominant trend in this matchup. In all of the past five games between these sides, the captain winning the toss has elected to bowl first to capitalize on any early moisture and chase down a target with a clear equation in mind.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Pace and bounce are always on the cards at the MCG. The seam bowlers can expect early movement and excellent carry through to the keeper, which explains why 65% of wickets at this ground fall to pacers. However, once the batters settle, that same true bounce allows for free-flowing stroke play.
The previous BBL match here saw the Stars comfortably chase down a 150-run target inside the 14th over, suggesting a good batting strip.
The weather forecast is perfect for cricket. Rain will be non-existent, with sunny skies turning into a clear evening, ensuring a full 40-over contest.
MS vs HH: Who Will Win?
The Stars have had the edge over the Hurricanes recently and look the far more balanced unit. With recent history on their side, home advantage, and key players like Maxwell and Rauf in form, the home team is the smart play here. The Hurricanes are strong but can be taken down and the odds make it worth the risk!
Bet on Melbourne Stars to win.
