MS vs AS Match Prediction : 34th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
MS vs AS Win Probability
58%
Melbourne Stars
42%
Adelaide Strikers
Melbourne Stars To Win, 1.65
The Stars’ opening partnership is in red-hot form
Glenn Maxwell and Marcus Stoinis ensure sustained scoring through the middle overs
A balanced bowling attack that blends experience with pace and variety gives the Stars the advantage
MS vs AS Betting Tips
Melbourne Stars not to have a dismissal in the first over
The Stars’ opening combination is in outstanding form. After dismantling the Renegades with an 84-run stand inside eight overs, this pairing has shown both composure and intent at the top. On a surface that allows free stroke play, an early wicket looks unlikely. This is a low-risk, high-probability market built around current form and batting depth.
otal maidens in the match to be under 0.5
Maiden overs are rare in modern T20 cricket—especially on a ground like the MCG where batters look to rotate strike and attack continuously. Even in strong bowling performances, keeping six consecutive balls scoreless is difficult. Given the aggressive batting line-ups on both sides, this market strongly favours “no maidens.”
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Stars
Adelaide Strikers
Melbourne Stars have been one of the most complete teams in the tournament and appear to be peaking at the right time. Adelaide Strikers, meanwhile, have endured an inconsistent campaign, struggling to string strong performances together. On current form, squad balance, and match-ups, the Stars deserve clear favouritism.
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Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers Head-to-Head Record
The Stars have dominated this fixture recently, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. Adelaide’s only victory in that stretch came last season. Recent history clearly favours Melbourne.
Melbourne Stars vs Adelaide Strikers Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MS vs AS Team Previews
Melbourne Stars
Melbourne Stars produced a commanding performance in the Melbourne derby. Chasing 166/7, they made light work of the target, finishing inside 16 overs in a clinical display of intent and execution.
The foundation was laid by the opening pair. Sam Harper’s 84* showcased controlled aggression, while Tom Rogers’ rapid 53 off 24 effectively won the game in the powerplay. Even after a couple of wickets, Glenn Maxwell calmly saw the chase through.
With the ball, captain Marcus Stoinis led by example with two wickets, supported well by Haris Rauf. Tom Curran and Peter Siddle kept things tight and picked up key breakthroughs. Across departments, the Stars ticked every box.
With five wins from eight matches and a healthy net run rate, Melbourne are firmly in contention near the top of the table—and their form suggests they are only getting stronger.
Melbourne Stars Expected Playing 11
Sam Harper (wk), Thomas Rogers, Campbell Kellaway, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis (c), Blake Macdonald, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Curran, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle
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Adelaide Strikers
Adelaide Strikers continue to undermine themselves even in matches where they post competitive totals. Despite scoring 200/8 in their last outing, defensive lapses and lack of control with the ball cost them dearly.
Choosing to field first proved disastrous as their attack conceded 69 runs without a wicket in the powerplay. Luke Wood, Hasan Ali, and Jamie Overton all leaked heavily, leaving the side with too much ground to recover. While Lloyd Pope and Cameron Boyce found some success, the early damage was irreparable.
Batting has also followed a familiar pattern: strong starts followed by collapses. Half-centuries from Matthew Short and Alex Carey were wasted as Adelaide slipped from 153/2 to 167/8 in quick time. A lack of finishing power and soft dismissals have prevented them from converting good positions into winning ones—weaknesses that Melbourne are well equipped to exploit.
Adelaide Strikers Expected Playing 11
Alex Carey (wk), Matthew Short (c), Chris Lynn, Liam Scott, Jamie Overton, Mackenzie Harvey, Harry Manenti, Luke Wood, Hasan Ali, Cameron Boyce, Lloyd Pope
MS vs AS Toss Prediction
Chasing should be the preferred option. Melbourne Stars are unbeaten when batting second this season, and conditions at the MCG often favour teams that know their target.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The MCG offers a balanced contest. Fast bowlers can extract bounce and movement with the new ball, while batters benefit from true carry and consistent pace. Once set, stroke-makers can expand freely, although the large boundaries reward sharp running and placement.
A total of around 170 is considered par. Matchday conditions are expected to be dry with mild temperatures, ensuring a full, uninterrupted game.
MS vs AS: Who Will Win?
Melbourne Stars are in strong form, boasting in-sync top-order batting, proven match-winners in the middle, and a disciplined bowling unit. Their earlier four-match winning streak and emphatic derby victory underline their championship credentials.
Adelaide Strikers, by contrast, have been erratic—failing to maintain momentum with either bat or ball. They remain vulnerable in pressure moments, particularly against quality opposition.
Bet on Melbourne Stars to win.
