MR vs MS Match Prediction : 30th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
MR vs MS Win Probability
37%
Melbourne Renegades
63%
Melbourne Stars
Melbourne Renegades To Win, 2.05
The Renegades are peaking at the right time with back-to-back victories, including a morale-boosting win over the Scorchers. The Stars, conversely, are sliding with consecutive losses.
The Renegades hold the psychological edge, having won the reverse fixture and leading the head-to-head 6-4 in the last 10 meetings.
The Renegades' attack, led by Gurinder Sandhu and Jason Behrendorff, looks far more potent and cohesive than the Stars' disjointed unit.
MR vs MS Betting Tips
Total runs in the first over for Melbourne Renegades to be over 6.5 runs
The Renegades' opening pair, led by the explosive Josh Brown, has consistently attacked from ball one. In the reverse fixture, they plundered 9 runs off the first over. With the Docklands pitch offering true bounce conducive to stroke play, betting on another productive start (7+ runs) is a statistically sound play.
Marcus Stoinis to score more than 20.5 runs
The Stars skipper has been the lone bright spot in an otherwise faltering batting lineup. Stoinis has consistently cashed in this season, starting with an unbeaten 62 and following up with solid scores in the 30s and 40s. Given his form and responsibility in the middle order, backing him to clear 20.5 runs offers excellent value.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Renegades
Melbourne Stars
The Melbourne Derby is always fierce, but the Renegades enter this clash with undeniable momentum. Having already beaten the Stars this season and fresh off a thrilling win in Perth, the home side is primed to complete the season double.
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Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Head-to-Head Record
The Renegades claimed bragging rights in the previous derby earlier this season. Historically, they also hold the upper hand, winning 6 of the last 10 encounters against their cross-town rivals.
Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MR vs MS Team Previews
Melbourne Renegades
The Renegades' thrilling last-ball win over the Scorchers in Perth feels like a season-defining moment. Bowling out a strong Perth side for 127 was a masterclass, with Gurinder Sandhu (4 wickets) and spinner Hassan Khan (2/26) ripping through the lineup.
The chase was nervy, but 18-year-old Oliver Peake showed maturity beyond his years with an unbeaten 42 to steer the team home. With openers Josh Brown and Tim Seifert capable of explosive starts, the batting unit looks balanced and dangerous.
Melbourne Renegades Expected Playing 11
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert, Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland (c), Sam Elliott, Gurinder Sandhu, Jason Behrendorff, Callum Stow.
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Melbourne Stars
The Stars are in freefall. After a promising start to the season, recent heavy losses—including a comprehensive defeat to the Sixers—have exposed deep cracks. Being bowled out for 128 was a low point, with key men like Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, and Campbell Kellaway failing miserably.
While Marcus Stoinis (33 runs & 2/21) continues to fight, he lacks support. The bowling attack has been toothless; aside from veteran Peter Siddle, the unit has struggled to apply sustained pressure. Facing a confident Renegades side at Docklands is a daunting task for a team devoid of confidence.
Melbourne Stars Expected Playing 11
Sam Harper (wk), Thomas Rogers, Campbell Kellaway, Marcus Stoinis (c), Blake Macdonald, Glenn Maxwell, Hilton Cartwright, Mitchell Swepson, Liam Hatcher, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle.
MR vs MS Toss Prediction
Chasing has been the winning formula in recent derbies, and the Docklands surface generally gets better for batting under lights. Expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first and chase down the target.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Docklands Stadium is a fair T20 venue. A first-innings score of 170-180 is par. The new ball offers some movement, but once the shine wears off, batters can score freely square of the wicket.
Weather: Expect partly sunny skies with a light breeze. Rain is unlikely to impact the match, ensuring a full 40-over contest.
MR vs MS: Who Will Win?
The Melbourne Renegades are arguably the best value bet of the round at odds of 2.00. They are playing winning cricket, have a settled lineup, and hold the psychological edge over a Stars team that looks broken. Back the Renegades to paint Melbourne red.
Bet on Melbourne Renegades to win.
