MR vs HH Match Prediction : 8th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
MR vs HH Win Probability
47%
Melbourne Renegades
53%
Hobart Hurricanes
Melbourne Renegades To Win, 2.00
The Renegades are riding high after winning their tournament opener
The Renegades possess a lethal new-ball attack ideally suited for the powerplay
We think the top order of the Renegades is very dangerous and could end up being the difference
MR vs HH Betting Tips
Hobart Hurricanes’ first dismissal to be caught
In the T20 format, the "caught" dismissal is statistically the most probable outcome, but the trends here make this an even safer play. It is worth noting that every single one of the Hurricanes’ previous nine dismissals came via a catch. With batters looking to clear the ropes early at GMHBA Stadium, trusting the stats on this market is a smart move.
Tim David to score more than 19.5 runs
Tim David has cemented his status as one of the premier middle-order power hitters in world cricket. Coming off a confident 31-run knock in his previous BBL outing, he looks primed to attack the Renegades' bowlers during the death overs. If he gets settled, covering a line of 19.5 runs should be routine work for a striker of his caliber.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Renegades
Hobart Hurricanes
The Melbourne Renegades closed out last season with a victory and have carried that winning habit straight into this campaign. In T20 cricket, momentum is often the difference-maker. Combined with home-ground advantage, the Renegades are well-positioned to secure valuable points here.
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Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes Head-to-Head Record
The rivalry has been evenly contested recently, though weather has been a frustrating factor. In the past five meetings, rain has forced two no-results. Of the completed games, the Thunder snagged the most recent win, while the Sixers claimed two victories in 2024.
Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MR vs HH Team Previews
Melbourne Renegades
Punters backing the Renegades have plenty of reasons for optimism. The batting lineup is headlined by dynamic Kiwi opener Tim Seifert, who announced his arrival this season with a sensational century. He is partnered by Josh Brown, a power-hitter with a career strike rate of 150, while Pakistani star Mohammad Rizwan adds world-class stability and tactical acumen to the top order.
The middle order looks equally dangerous. Jake Fraser-McGurk is renowned for his clean striking, and Oliver Peake has proven he can convert potential into performance with a recent half-century against the Heat. Captain Will Sutherland remains the linchpin as the primary all-rounder.
With the ball, BBL veteran and six-time winner Jason Behrendorff will be pivotal in the powerplay. The attack is well-balanced with the pace and spin variations of Fergus O’Neill, Gurinder Sandhu, and Hassan Khan.
Melbourne Renegades Expected Playing 11
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert, Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland (c), Matthew Spoors, Fergus O’Neill, Gurinder Sandhu, Jason Behrendorff
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Hobart Hurricanes
The Hobart Hurricanes enter this fixture with questions hanging over a seemingly one-dimensional bowling attack heavily reliant on right-arm pace. Despite boasting international experience in Riley Meredith, Billy Stanlake, Nathan Ellis, and Chris Jordan, the unit failed to take a single wicket against the Stars.
Furthermore, young spinners Rehan Ahmed and Rishad Hossain have a steep learning curve ahead to prove they can control games in Australian conditions.
Batting-wise, the Hurricanes are adopting a high-risk, high-reward strategy. However, consistency is a concern; the opening partnership lacks established chemistry, with Nikhil Chaudhary having played just 22 BBL matches.
In their previous innings, only three batters managed to reach double figures. playing away from home against a confident Renegades outfit puts them on the back foot immediately.
Hobart Hurricanes Expected Playing 11
Mitchell Owen, Nikhil Chaudhary, Rehan Ahmed, Ben McDermott, Tim David, Matthew Wade (wk), Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis (c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith, Billy Stanlake
MR vs HH Toss Prediction
History at this venue favors the chasing side. Four of the last five encounters between these two teams resulted in a win for the team batting second—often by a comfortable margin of six wickets. Expect the toss-winning captain to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The surface at GMHBA Stadium offers early assistance to pace bowlers, rewarding those who can utilize the new ball. Spinners may find less turn and will need to rely on drift and skidding the ball through. However, batting conditions generally improve as the innings progresses, evidenced by the Renegades piling on 212/5 in their last game here.
Weather will likely be a factor. There is a 35% chance of rain scheduled for the evening, with heavier showers expected earlier in the afternoon.
High humidity will also play a major role, potentially making the ball difficult to grip for the bowlers.
MR vs HH: Who Will Win?
The Melbourne Renegades are turning their home ground into a fortress. Conversely, the Hobart Hurricanes have a dismal record here, having never won a game at this venue. With current form and historical data both pointing in one direction, the value lies with the hosts.
Bet on Melbourne Renegades to win.
