MR vs BH Match Prediction : 2nd Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
MR vs BH Win Probability
53%
Melbourne Renegades
47%
Brisbane Heat
Melbourne Renegades To Win, 1.80
The Melbourne Renegades defeated the Brisbane Heat in their most recent meeting last season.
The Renegades finished higher than the Heat on the 2024 BBL points table and have a stronger squad.
Brisbane Heat has never recorded a victory against the Melbourne Renegades at this venue
MR vs BH Betting Tips
Melbourne Renegades total runs before the first dismissal to be over 18.5 runs
This market offers significant value given the explosive nature of the Renegades' new-look opening pair. Jake Fraser-McGurk is a proven boundary-hitter who dismantled the Heat in their last encounter, while Josh Brownāformerly of the Heatābrings insider knowledge of the opposition's bowling plans. With two aggressive openers looking to exploit the powerplay, backing them to survive the initial few overs and clear the 18.5 run line is a solid play.
Total runs in the first over for Brisbane Heat to be under 6.5 runs
The Heat traditionally adopt a conservative approach in the opening exchanges, prioritizing wicket preservation over immediate aggression. Their top order lacks the raw firepower seen in other franchises, making a quiet start highly probable. In their last meeting with the Renegades, the Heat managed just five runs in the opening over, and with the Renegadesā seamers likely to find early movement, a low-scoring first over is a smart bet.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Melbourne Renegades
Brisbane Heat
The Melbourne Renegades are tipped to defeat the Brisbane Heat. The Renegades have a better recent record against the Heat. The Heat also had a disastrous end to their campaign last year after they lost three consecutive matches towards the end.
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Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat Head-to-Head Record
The Melbourne Renegades have beaten Brisbane Heat in three of the past five matches. The Brisbane Heat have two wins in the five matches.
Melbourne Renegades vs Brisbane Heat Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast onĀ Channel 7Ā andĀ Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available throughĀ Kayo Sports,Ā Foxtel Go, andĀ 7plus.ā
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage inĀ IndiaĀ is available on theĀ Star Sports NetworkĀ and streamed viaĀ Disney+ Hotstar. Fans inĀ PakistanĀ can watch the matches onĀ PTV SportsĀ andĀ Ten Sports, while those inĀ BangladeshĀ can also tune in via theĀ Star Sports NetworkĀ feeds.ā
In theĀ United Kingdom,Ā Sky Sports CricketĀ holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live onĀ Sky GoĀ andĀ NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
MR vs BH Team Previews
Melbourne Renegades
The Melbourne Renegades are a high-risk, high-reward betting prospect, built on pure explosive batting. Their lineup is stacked with power, led by the electric young gun Jake Fraser-McGurk and former-Heat opener Josh Brown. Brown hit 183 runs at a strike rate over 150 last season. With Tim Seifert providing consistent firepower after them, the Renegades' strategy is to simply pile too much pressure onto their opponents.
Their bowling attack is elite on paper. The Renegades mix the pace of Australian international Jason Behrendorff and Tom Rogers, who took 16 wickets last season, with the world-class Australian spin of Adam Zampa.
Why back them against the Heat? The Renegades hold the historical advantage and a crucial psychological edge over the Heat. They proved this exact matchup is winnable last season. Fraser-McGurk scored a stunning 95 and Brown with a quickfire 32 off 11 spearheaded a successful chase of 196 against this very Heat attack. Brisbane's bowling has no answer for that level of aggression, and their own batting lacks the same explosive depth.
Melbourne Renegades Expected Playing 11
Josh Brown, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Tim Seifert (wk), Harry Dixon, Tom Rogers, Will Sutherland (c), Hassan Khan, Fergus OāNeill, Adam Zampa, Jason Behrendorff
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Brisbane Heat
The Brisbane Heat batting lacks the intensity required to do any damage in the T20 format. While their batting lineup boasts a few formidable batters, they would not necessarily be the first picks in 20-over cricket. The top-order batting lacks any significant experience in the BBL.
This bowling attack can be threatening when on top of its game. The pace unit consists of Jack Wildermuth, Xavier Bartlett, Shaheen Shah Afridi and Callum Vidler. Afridi will be playing his first domestic T20 in Australia, so he will be unfamiliar with the conditions in Geelong. The lack of spin-bowling depth, with Matt Kuhnemann as the sole spinner, may come back to bite them.
The Renegades are poised for the win because of how reliant the Brisbane Heat is on the bowling coming to the fore. Last yearās match showed that even with 196 runs on the board, the bowling can crack if the Renegades work their way up the gears. The Heat's slower batting style lacks the sheer explosive power needed to keep the pace with the Renegades.
Brisbane Heat Expected Playing 11
Nathan McSweeney, Tom Alsop, Hugh Weibgen, Lachlan Hearne, Jimmy Peirson (c/wk), Max Bryant, Jack Wildermuth, Xavier Bartlett, Shaheen Shah Afridi, Matt Kuhnemann, Callum Vidler
MR vs BH Toss Prediction
The toss screams bowling first. In the past four matches between the Renegades and the Heat, the side chasing has had the better of results.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The pitch at this venue should provide pace and bounce for the seamers. Swing with the new ball will be an initial challenge for the batters. After that, the flow of runs should start coming as conditions get better for batting. The Melbourne Renegades bowled the Hobart Hurricanes out for 74 in its previous trip to Geelong.
Overhead conditions will be mostly cloudy, while temperatures on the ground will be warm and humid. The chance of rain will hover around ten percent.
MR vs BH: Who Will Win?
The Melbourne Renegades' explosive batting lineup has already proven it can overwhelm Brisbane's bowling attack in a high-scoring chase. The Heat's own former aggressive opener, Josh Brown, is now playing for the Renegades. Brisbane has been dealt a major blow with that loss because the team will struggle to find firepower to match that in its current squad.
Bet on Melbourne Renegades to win.
