HH vs MR Match Prediction : 15th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
HH vs MR Win Probability
56%
Hobart Hurricanes
44%
Melbourne Renegades
Hobart Hurricanes To Win, 1.70
The Hurricanes are fresh off a clinical 7-wicket victory over the Renegades, giving them a significant psychological edge.
Hobart’s pace battery is arguably the most balanced in the league, offering threat in the Powerplay and elite control at the death.
The Hurricanes possess a batting lineup built for "boundary blitzes" in the middle overs, a phase where the Renegades often struggle to contain runs.
HH vs MR Betting Tips
Hobart Hurricanes not to hit a six in the first over of the innings
The Hurricanes have adopted a measured approach to start their innings, preferring to assess conditions before launching a middle-order assault. With wickets in hand being crucial to their strategy, the openers are unlikely to take high-risk aerial options in the very first over. Expect sighters and ground shots rather than a first-over maximum.
Hobart Hurricanes total run outs in the match to be under 0.5 runs
This looks like a solid "banker" for your accumulator. In the Hurricanes’ previous fixture, neither side recorded a run-out, which speaks to disciplined running between the wickets. With Bellerive Oval offering a great batting surface, there is little need for risky singles or panic running. We expect sensible accumulation rather than chaotic scrambling, making this a low-risk punt well in your favour.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Hobart Hurricanes
Melbourne Renegades
The Hobart Hurricanes rarely complicate matters on their home turf. With 3 wins from their last 4 matches, they are the form side. Conversely, the Melbourne Renegades are under immense scrutiny and low on confidence; backing the home team here is the logical play.
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Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Head-to-Head Record
The year 2025 has been dominated by the men in purple. The Hobart Hurricanes have won both encounters against the Melbourne Renegades this calendar year. While 2024 saw the spoils shared, the current momentum has swung firmly in Hobart's favour.
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.​
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.​
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
HH vs MR Team Previews
Hobart Hurricanes
Hobart’s batting lineup is quickly establishing itself as one of the tournament’s most feared units. On the bowling front, Captain Nathan Ellis leads by example; his mastery of variations and slower balls makes him a nightmare for batters in the death overs.
He is perfectly complemented by the raw pace of Riley Meredith—who unsettles opponents with sheer speed—and the veteran savvy of Chris Jordan, who knows exactly how to build pressure.
The spin department offers flexibility through overseas stars Rehan Ahmed and Rishad Hossain, while Nikhil Chaudhary continues to mature into a reliable asset. At the top of the order, openers Mitchell Owen and Tim Ward have shown aggressive intent—Owen’s first-ball six in his last outing was a statement of intent.
With Australian powerhouses Ben McDermott and Tim David waiting in the wings to capitalize on any loose bowling, the Hurricanes have match-winners all the way down. Even under pressure, such as their tricky chase of 151 against Perth, they have proven they have the composure to get the job done.
Hobart Hurricanes Expected Playing 11
Mitchell Owen, Tim Ward, Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott (wk), Macalister Wright, Tim David, Rehan Ahmed, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis (c), Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith
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Melbourne Renegades
The Renegades remain a frustrating "work in progress." Their batting unit is struggling to find the right tempo for T20 cricket. While Josh Brown and Tim Seifert are capable of fireworks, they currently lack consistency—highlighted by Brown’s painful 8-ball duck in his last innings.
Star recruits Mohammad Rizwan and Jake Fraser-McGurk offer headline quality but have yet to translate their reputation into match-winning contributions this season.
Tactically, relying on all-rounders Will Sutherland and Hassan Khan too high up the order exposes a lack of depth. While Adam Zampa remains a world-class threat in the middle overs and Jason Behrendorff is vital with the new ball, the support act falls short.
Bowlers like Gurinder Sandhu and Fergus O’Neill have frequently released pressure after the senior pros have tightened the screws. Until the Renegades can deliver a complete performance with both bat and ball, they remain a risky proposition for bettors.
Melbourne Renegades Expected Playing 11
Josh Brown, Tim Seifert (wk), Mohammad Rizwan, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland (c), Fergus O’Neill, Gurinder Sandhu, Adam Zampa, Jason Behrendorff
HH vs MR Toss Prediction
History suggests a clear advantage here: All of the past 5 Hurricanes vs Renegades clashes have been won by the chasing side. Expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first without hesitation to capitalize on this trend.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
Bellerive Oval is traditionally a paradise for stroke-makers. Pace bowlers can expect some assistance with the new ball, but once the shine wears off, conditions usually flatten out beautifully for batting. Spinners may find it tough going, with the pitch offering only a hint of turn, meaning control of length will be vital.
Last season’s clash at this venue produced nearly 310 runs, so expect scoring opportunities. The weather forecast is promising—warm and humid with partly sunny skies. Rain probability is low (10%), with any potential showers likely clearing up by the afternoon, well before the match intensifies.
HH vs MR: Who Will Win?
The statistics paint a clear picture: The Hurricanes have won 9 of their last 11 encounters against the Renegades. In betting, form and history are your best friends. The Renegades look like a side losing the race to save their season, while Hobart is surging at the right time.
Bet on Hobart Hurricanes to win.
