BH vs ST Match Prediction : 29th Match, Big Bash League, 2025-2026
BH vs ST Win Probability
100%
Sydney Thunder
Brisbane Heat To Win, 1.57
The Heat have turned their home ground into a nightmare for the Thunder, dominating recent head-to-head encounters in Brisbane.
Even in defeat, Brisbane showed immense character defending a low total against the Sixers, proving their bowling unit can strangle teams.
The Thunder are officially out of the playoff race and playing only for pride, while the Heat have superior momentum and home advantage driving them.
BH vs ST Betting Tips
David Warner to score more than 25.5 runs
Vintage David Warner is back. The Thunder captain has looked ominous lately, smashing a brilliant 130* against Hobart followed by a defiant 67* against Adelaide. He is seeing the ball like a beach ball, and with the Gabba offering true bounce that suits his game, backing him to clear this modest line is a high-value play.
Total ducks in the match to be over 0.5
This is a smart statistical bet. Both batting lineups have shown fragility under pressure, with collapses becoming a recurring theme. The Thunder saw both Matthew Gilkes and Sam Konstas depart for first-ball ducks recently, while the Heat's top order has also been prone to early jitters. At 1.44, this safely covers the likelihood of at least one batter failing to trouble the scorers.
Team form (Last 5 matches)
Brisbane Heat
Sydney Thunder
Although inconsistent, the Brisbane Heat has shown far more grit and quality this season than their opponents. The Thunder have struggled to find any rhythm, and with their season effectively over, spoiling the Heat's party at the Gabba seems unlikely.
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Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder Head-to-Head Record
The Brisbane Heat had enjoyed a four-match winning streak against the Thunder until Sydney managed to steal a win in the reverse fixture earlier this season. However, historically, the Gabba has been a graveyard for the Thunder.
Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder Live-streaming and Broadcast
In Australia, the Big Bash League is broadcast on Channel 7 and Fox Cricket, with live streaming options available through Kayo Sports, Foxtel Go, and 7plus.
For viewers in the Indian subcontinent, coverage in India is available on the Star Sports Network and streamed via Disney+ Hotstar. Fans in Pakistan can watch the matches on PTV Sports and Ten Sports, while those in Bangladesh can also tune in via the Star Sports Network feeds.
In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports Cricket holds the exclusive broadcast rights, allowing fans to stream the action live on Sky Go and NOW.
You can find live odds, updated tips after every day's play, and more information about this match at ocbscores.com.
BH vs ST Team Previews
Brisbane Heat
Brisbane may have lost their last game in Coffs Harbour, but their effort to defend a meager 114 was heroic. Reducing a strong Sixers lineup to 56/7 proved that this bowling attack is lethal even when defending small totals.
Matt Kuhnemann (2/14) was outstanding, and young seamers Oli Patterson and Xavier Bartlett provided superb support. The batting remains the concern; while Jack Wildermuth (31 off 17) showed intent, the team needs a substantial score.
However, their ability to fight when the chips are down makes them a reliable betting option at home.
Brisbane Heat Expected Playing 11
Jack Wildermuth, Lachlan Hearne, Nathan McSweeney (c), Matt Renshaw, Max Bryant, Hugh Weibgen, Jimmy Peirson (wk), Xavier Bartlett, Matthew Kuhnemann, Oli Patterson, Thomas Balkin.
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Sydney Thunder
The Thunder will want to erase the memory of their loss at Adelaide Oval quickly. Letting the Strikers recover to 165/8 after reducing them to 19/2 was criminal, and their own chase fell apart spectacularly.
David Warner (67*) and Matthew Gilkes (43) were the only ones to show up. Once that partnership broke, the middle order capitulated, collapsing to 159/7.
Now officially eliminated from playoff contention, the Thunder are a dangerous but disjointed unit playing solely for pride.
Sydney Thunder Expected Playing 11
Matthew Gilkes, David Warner (c), Sam Billings (wk), Sam Konstas, Nic Maddinson, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, David Willey, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Wes Agar.
BH vs ST Toss Prediction
The Gabba is traditionally a chasing venue, with true bounce allowing batters to trust their shots in the second innings. Brisbane's last home win came chasing nearly 200. Expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first.
Pitch Report and Weather Conditions
The Gabba pitch offers pace and bounce, making it one of the best batting surfaces in the country. A score of 200+ is often par here for teams batting first. Pacers need to bowl full to find movement, while spinners must focus on containment.
Weather: It will be a classic hot and humid Brisbane day. Rain is unlikely (15% chance), so expect a full, uninterrupted contest.
BH vs ST: Who Will Win?
The Brisbane Heat pushed the formidable Sixers to the absolute limit in their last game, proving their resilience. The Thunder, meanwhile, look demoralized and overly reliant on David Warner. At the Gabba, with the crowd behind them and a bowling attack in rhythm, the Heat are the clear favorites.
Bet on Brisbane Heat to win.
