17%
West Indies
12%
Draw
71%
Australia
Australia To Win, 1.35
Australia may be missing a few key players but it is still a much better Test side
West Indies have a frail batting lineup
Australia's bowling unit is perhaps the best in the world
The first ball of the match to be a dot ball
In Test cricket, especially in Barbados where new ball matters, it’s highly probable the first ball will be a cautious one.
First dismissal to be caught
Both seam attacks will look to extract movement up front. Expect early edges in seamer-friendly conditions.
West Indies
N/A
Australia
N/A
Australia are missing some key players like Smith and Labuschagne and have some question marks at the top order. However, their depth and bowling attack still give them the edge. West Indies, buoyed by the historic Gabba win last year and a promising pace attack led by Shamar Joseph and Jayden Seales, will look to challenge the Aussies on home soil.
That said, Australia has proven pedigree, and their bowlers — Starc, Cummins, Hazlewood, and Lyon — are world-class. Even a slightly weakened Aussie side is going to be a big test for West Indies. The Aussies will likely control the game with their experienced attack, and the West Indies top order will need something special to produce an upset.
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West Indies and Australia have played each other in 118 Tests. Australia has won 60 of these games, while West Indies has won 32. The other 26 matches ended in a draw.
This Test match will be aired on SportsMax in the Caribbean and Fox Sports in Australia. Live-streaming will also be available on Kayo Sports (AU) and ESPN Caribbean apps.
Live scores, ball-by-ball commentary, and in-game betting odds will be updated on ocbscores.com.
With new leadership under Roston Chase, this is a transitional period for West Indies. The absence of Kemar Roach is notable, but their pace trio of Shamar Joseph, Jayden Seales, and Alzarri Joseph looks dangerous, especially at home.
Joseph was sensational against Australia at the Gabba last year, and Seales’ improving skill set — swinging the ball at will and exploiting helpful surfaces — will be key. Left-arm spinner Jomel Warrican also enters this Test with good momentum after taking 19 wickets on the Pakistan tour.
With the bat, much depends on Kraigg Brathwaite and Shai Hope — the most experienced top-order names — along with all-round contributions from Roston Chase and Justin Greaves. Scoring runs against this Australian attack will be the biggest hurdle for them.
Kraigg Brathwaite (c), Mikyle Louis, Kevlon Anderson, Brandon King, Shai Hope (wk), Roston Chase, Justin Greaves, Jayden Seales, Shamar Joseph, Alzarri Joseph, Jomel Warrican.
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This is not the full-strength Australian lineup we’re accustomed to — Steven Smith is recovering, Marnus Labuschagne has been left out, and Travis Head could be pushed up the order. That opens the door for debutant Sam Konstas and the in-form Josh Inglis, who impressed on his debut Test in Sri Lanka.
Despite some uncertainty at the top, Australia will feel confident relying on Usman Khawaja and Travis Head to shore up the innings. Cameron Green’s role at No. 3 is also under scrutiny after an underwhelming comeback.
The bowling attack of Pat Cummins, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, and Nathan Lyon is as strong as ever. Lyon will test the West Indies batters’ patience and technique, while Starc and Cummins can swing the Dukes ball at pace.
Usman Khawaja, Sam Konstas, Cameron Green, Travis Head, Josh Inglis (wk), Beau Webster, Alex Carey, Pat Cummins (c), Nathan Lyon, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc.
With overcast conditions and a pitch that is historically lively early on, the captain winning the toss may look to bowl first. Teams batting first have won 13 of the last 31 Tests at Kensington Oval — so the trend is balanced, but swing and seam may be decisive up front.
Kensington Oval has historically been a sporting surface, offering help to seamers especially with the new ball. The Dukes ball, which will do more in the air and off the seam than its Kookaburra counterpart, could make life difficult for the batters. Scattered showers are forecast across Days 1 and 2, so batting under cloud cover could be a serious challenge.
While West Indies will take confidence from their bowling unit and the Gabba win last year, they have an uphill task against an experienced Australian side. Despite missing Smith and Labuschagne, Australia’s seam attack and depth give them the edge.
Bet on Australia to win this match.
WI vs AUS win percentage stands at 69% in favor of AUS.
Todays Match Prediction: Australia to Win.
Dhruv Gupta is a seasoned cricket analyst passionate about numbers and patterns. He brings a data-driven approach to his cricket predictions.
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