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The result of the coin toss in a cricket match can have a major impact on the outcome. Its impact depends on the format of the game, so let's take a closer look at why the toss matters.Â
At the ICC Men's T20 World Cup that was played in the UAE a few years ago, research found that around two-thirds of the matches saw the team that won the toss go on to win the game.Â
This demonstrates how important it can be to win the toss in T20, where having control over the decision to set a total or chase down the opponents' score makes a huge difference.Â
However, that ICC Men's T20 World Cup is seen as an outlier, as usually there is not much of an advantage. T20 matches played at night or in certain parts of the world often see dew play a part in the second innings, which provides a big advantage to the team that wins the toss.Â
At the 2023 Cricket World Cup, results showed little advantage to teams winning the toss.Â
However, as with T20 night matches, ODIs played in the evening do provide an advantage to the team that won the toss.Â
Analysis has found that the team winning the toss in day-night ODIs wins 6% more games.Â
The longest format of the game sees teams winning the toss have an advantage of around 2.5%. This can be explained by the tricky task of batting last on a deteriorating pitch.Â
In 2018 it was proposed by the International Cricket Council (ICC) that the traditional coin toss in Test cricket matches should be scrapped to give touring sides a better chance.Â
However, the ICC later confirmed that the coin toss at the start of Tests would be retained.Â
It stands to reason that the odds of heads and tails for the coin toss both stand at 50/50.Â
One thing some people may not realise is that the coin toss outcome is never affected by previous results. Even if 10 coin tosses in a row come up heads, the chances of tails winning the next coin toss remain at 50/50.Â
When browsing for the best toss prediction today, you will notice that the odds available on this market do not add up to 100% when changed into a probability.Â
This is because cricket betting sites have a margin, which ensures that they can make a profit.Â
While most cricket competitions have the toss of a coin to start a game, not all of them do.Â
In Australia's Big Bash League (BBL) - one of the world's most popular Twenty20 competitions - instead of a coin toss, there has been a bat toss. Captains predict which way the bat will land in order to be given the chance to decide whether they want to bat or field in the first innings.Â
For BBL games, the toss prediction is just for the bat toss instead of the normal coin toss.Â
A sport obsessive, Jamie has been writing professionally for 15 years and now specialises in online betting content. Cricket is his favourite sport to watch - and have a bet on! - with the legendary England bowler James Anderson actually hailing from his home town.
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