NZ vs AFG Match Prediction & Betting Tips - Oct 18, 2023
Fresh off its win against the defending champions England on Sunday, Afghanistan will now take on the runner-ups from the last edition this Wednesday at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai.
New Zealand vs Afghanistan head-to-head record
Both teams have played just two ODIs against each other, with both of them happening inside a World Cup. New Zealand emerged as the winners in both those encounters.
New Zealand vs Afghanistan Live-streaming and Broadcast
This match can be live-streamed on the Disney+ Hotstar App or can be watched live on the Star Sports Network.
NZ vs AFG Team Previews
New Zealand
New Zealand always seems to find its top form during the World Cup events and this year’s edition seems no different. The Black Caps have won each of their 3 matches so far and are sitting quite comfortably in the top 4.
These are however early days in the tournament and there is no room to be complacent for them.
New Zealand has excelled in all departments and that has shown in the huge margins of victory they have registered thus far. Devon Conway’s experience playing in the IPL has come in handy as he has been in blistering form, top-scoring for his team. He has been ably supported by Will Young and Rachin Ravindra at the top of the order.
Kane Williamson, who was playing his first match of the tournament on Friday, played a brilliant knock of 78.
However, a knock on the thumb forced him to retire early. Daryl Mitchell, known for his clean striking, hasn’t disappointed either. He will play a key role in the middle order along with Tom Latham and Glenn Phillips.
Coming to the bowling, Matt Henry has done an excellent job with the new ball, picking up 8 wickets. He will be supported by Boult and Lockie Ferguson. New Zealand has relied heavily on Mitchell Santner to perform in the spin department and he has delivered the goods so far.
The biggest challenge that New Zealand will face is coutering Afghanistan's spin-trio. If they can manage that, the Kiwis should find themselves sitting pretty with four wins out of four.
New Zealand Playing 11
Devon Conway, Will Young, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Mitchell Santner, Matt Henry, Lockie Ferguson, Trent Boult.
Afghanistan
Afghanistan had a pretty ordinary World Cup till this weekend as they faced consecutive defeats against Bangladesh and India. Most cricket betting sites predicted a similar outcome on Sunday as they faced the defending champions at a high-scoring venue.
However, Afghanistan played some brilliant cricket to overwhelm England and produce one of the biggest upsets in recent World Cup history. This is only the second time that Afghanistan has won a World Cup match, with the first one coming back in 2015 against Scotland.
Rahmanullah Gurbaz and Ibrahim Zadran put up a century stand, their third this year, to set the stage for a big total. However, the middle order’s inability to perform consistently continues to mar Afghanistan’s prospects. Ikram Alikhil and Rahmat Shah will need to step up and score some runs in this match.
The importance of runs from the top-2 is clear and they will be tested by New Zealand's bowlers. In fact, expect another Lockie Ferguson short ball barrage coming hard at the Afghan players.
The team has some talented all-rounders in the form of Azmatullah Omarzai and Mohammad Nabi who add depth to the batting. Afghanistan's famed spin attack, which had a relatively quiet start, finally came to its own, picking up 8 wickets.
Rashid Khan and Mujeeb Ur Rahman picked up 3 wickets each and will once again be the key bowlers. The pace department continues to remain a weakness. If, and that is a big if, Chennai offers help to the spinners, Afghanistan will go into this match believing it can win.
Afghanistan Playing 11
Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Ibrahim Zadran, Rahmat Shah, Hashmatullah Shahidi, Ikram Alikhil, Azmatullah Omarzai, Mohammad Nabi, Rashid Khan, Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Naveen ul Haq, Fazalhaq Farooqi.
NZ vs AFG Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss will likely opt to bowl first.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
Pitch and Conditions
While the first game played at Chennai was a low-scoring affair thanks to a softer pitch, the last match played here offered a firm surface. There will be movement for the seamers early on in the match but things should settle down once the match progresses.
A score of around 280 is a par score.
The weather will remain warm and humid and there will be some dew during the second inning.
NZ vs AFG Betting Tips
Afghanistan will be elated by their win in the last match and will take on the field with plenty of confidence. However, we feel they are no match for New Zealand’s prowess. Only look to hedge your bets with Afghanistan if the pitch seems particularly slow and starts to spin.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
Bonus Cricket Bets
Matt Henry is in good form this season. He has picked up 8 wickets in 3 matches so far, picking up at least 2 wickets in each of those 3 matches. We are therefore backing him to do so again.
Both the matches played here so far have seen fewer than 15 wickets fall. The average number of wickets that have fallen here over the last 5 matches is 14. We are therefore predicting a similar outcome.
The New Zealand team has some explosive batsmen. They have scored at least 25 4s in 2 of the 3 matches played in this tournament and we are backing them to do so again.
We are eager to know what you think of our match predictions, if there is anything we can do better or if you want to let us know your own predictions for the match.